Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" before Nov 16, 2026?

Settles Nov 16, 2026 (3d) All outcomes: What will Trump say this week?

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chance of YES2% -1.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
5–13%
24h volume
3.9K
$1 contracts
Open interest
8.5K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
$4K
0% on YES

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO97¢ 1,476$1K
NO95¢ 2,359$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.