What will Trump say this week?
50/50 line50%Superintelligence / Super Intelligence
Line nearest 50/50
50%
Runner-up
100%
Biggest 24h move+95 pts
50%
24h volume
$66K
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noDividend / Stimulus
100%
+82
Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis
100%
+92
Canada / Canadian
99%
+59
Space Force
50%
Cuba / Cuban
50%
Soleimani
50%
Vivek / Ramaswamy
50%
+80
Blockade
50%
Filibuster
50%
Abu Dhabi
50%
Tomahawk
50%
+ 28 more in the table below.
Odds over time
dailyDaily closing odds for the leading outcomes.
Where the large orders went
7 days · ≥ $1K- Make Iran Great AgainYES $0 · NO $8K · 3 orders · biggest $3K
- Peace in the Middle EastYES $0 · NO $4K · 2 orders · biggest $2K
- Marijuana / Weed / CannabisYES $3K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $3K
- Prediction Market / Predictive MarketYES $0 · NO $2K · 2 orders · biggest $1K
- Vivek / RamaswamyYES $2K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $2K
- AntifaYES $0 · NO $2K · 1 orders · biggest $2K
- Superintelligence / Super IntelligenceYES $2K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $2K
- Rigged Election / Stolen ElectionYES $2K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $2K
Recent large orders
| When | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peace in the Middle East | NO | 97¢ | $1K | |
| Prediction Market / Predictive Market | NO | 97¢ | $1K | |
| Uranium | NO | 98¢ | $2K | |
| Antifa | NO | 98¢ | $2K | |
| Make Iran Great Again | NO | 99¢ | $3K | |
| Prediction Market / Predictive Market | NO | 96¢ | $1K | |
| Make Iran Great Again | NO | 99¢ | $2K | |
| Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis | YES | 99¢ | $3K | |
| Vivek / Ramaswamy | YES | 99¢ | $2K | |
| Filibuster | YES | 69¢ | $1K |
All outcomes
42| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend / Stimulus | 100% | +82.0 | $1K | $2K |
| Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis | 100% | +92.0 | $12K | $12K |
| Cybersecurity / Cyber Security | 99% | — | $2K | $10K |
| Canada / Canadian | 99% | +59.0 | $2K | $2K |
| Superintelligence / Super Intelligence | 50% | — | $1K | $18K |
| Space Force | 50% | — | $0 | $2K |
| Cuba / Cuban | 50% | — | $0 | $1K |
| Soleimani | 50% | — | $0 | $1K |
| Vivek / Ramaswamy | 50% | +80.0 | $5K | $5K |
| Blockade | 50% | — | $0 | $108 |
| Rigged Election / Stolen Election | 50% | — | $0 | $3K |
| Filibuster | 50% | — | $0 | $2K |
| Abu Dhabi | 50% | — | $0 | $3K |
| Tomahawk | 50% | — | $0 | $2K |
| Golden Dome | 50% | +95.0 | $2K | $2K |
| Diesel | 42% | -10.5 | $3K | $3K |
| Bibi / Netanyahu | 36% | -28.5 | $1K | $2K |
| Ilhan / Omar | 22% | -17.0 | $676 | $1K |
| Melania | 18% | -7.5 | $776 | $2K |
| Ranked Choice / Ranked-Choice | 14% | -1.5 | $345 | $838 |
| Moon | 12% | -21.5 | $415 | $1K |
| Mortgage | 12% | -3.5 | $391 | $554 |
| Ceasefire | 12% | -16.5 | $773 | $3K |
| Zohran / Mamdani | 11% | -14.0 | $1K | $1K |
| Quantum | 11% | +3.0 | $206 | $536 |
| Finland / Finnish | 10% | -6.5 | $260 | $326 |
| GDP | 10% | -14.5 | $222 | $478 |
| Nobel | 9% | -7.0 | $239 | $461 |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 9% | -9.0 | $2K | $2K |
| Third Term | 8% | -10.0 | $1K | $1K |
| Robot / Robotic / Robotics | 8% | -8.5 | $331 | $658 |
| Autopen / Auto Pen | 8% | -14.5 | $193 | $487 |
| Houthi | 8% | -13.0 | $149 | $481 |
| Antifa | 7% | +1.0 | $2K | $3K |
| Uranium | 6% | -1.0 | $2K | $3K |
| Epstein | 6% | -6.0 | $665 | $2K |
| Refinery | 4% | -23.0 | $675 | $1K |
| Ethanol | 2% | -8.0 | $378 | $599 |
| Prediction Market / Predictive Market | 2% | -2.0 | $4K | $5K |
| Peace in the Middle East | 2% | -1.0 | $4K | $8K |
| UFO / UAP | 2% | -5.0 | $2K | $3K |
| Make Iran Great Again | 0% | — | $11K | $17K |