What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 16, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Nov 16, 2026 (3d) All outcomes: What will Trump say this week?

chance of YES2% -2.5pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

3–7%

24h volume

4.2K

$1 contracts

Open interest

5.0K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$2K

0% on YES

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Nov 13, 5:51 AM ET	NO	97¢	1,137	$1K
Nov 12, 8:18 PM ET	NO	96¢	1,249	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.