K KalshiEconomy & Fed

Will Texas’s annual-average field production of crude oil for 2026 be above 5.6 million barrels/day?

Above 5.6 million barrels/day
Settles Mar 31, 2027 (162d) All outcomes: Texas crude oil production in 2026

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Preview
chance of YES98% +0.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
95–99%
· 7d +1 pts
24h volume
61
$1 contracts
Open interest
982
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
98¢ / 99¢
spread 1.0¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
98.0¢ 60,402 99.0¢ 1,646,088
94.0¢ 200
80.0¢ 2
78.0¢ 35
70.0¢ 1

Mid 98.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Above 5.8 million barrels/day30%7.4K
Above 5.9 million barrels/day4%5.5K

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
YES99¢ 15,000$15K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.