What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 42%, implying a 42% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Josh Turek

Closes Nov 03, 2027 (504d) 24h volume 8.7K Open interest 102.8K Event Iowa Senate winner?

42%

implied YES probability

+3.0pp 24h

Last 86 days · High 42% · Low 37% · 7d +2.6pp · 30d -2.5pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.