Will Republicans win the Senate race in Iowa?

Settles Nov 03, 2027 (368d) All outcomes: Iowa Senate winner? Polls & election odds

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chance of YES56% +2.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
53–67%
30d -5 pts · 7d -3 pts
24h volume
277.4K
$1 contracts
Open interest
2.9M
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
56¢ / 57¢
spread 1.0¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
56.0¢ 41,064 57.0¢ 109,883
55.0¢ 70,675 58.0¢ 71,642
54.0¢ 14,092 59.0¢ 25,639
53.0¢ 10,227 60.0¢ 2,253
52.0¢ 21,376 61.0¢ 5,317

Mid 56.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Josh Turek44%188.3K

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
YES57¢ 8,515$5K
YES57¢ 8,515$5K
YES57¢ 8,515$5K
YES57¢ 10,218$6K
YES57¢ 7,000$4K
YES57¢ 2,117$1K
YES57¢ 1,873$1K
YES57¢ 10,218$6K
YES56¢ 17,323$10K
YES56¢ 6,034$3K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.