polymarket Politics

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Mary Peltola
Closes Nov 03, 2026 (116d) 24h volume $2.0K Open interest $35.7K Event Alaska Senate Election Winner
54%
implied YES probability
-5.5pp 24h

Price history

Last 91 days · High 70% · Low 52% · 7d -3.4pp · 30d -4.2pp
70%52%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.