polymarket Politics

Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?

Democrat
Closes Nov 03, 2026 (138d) 24h volume $232 Open interest $9.7K Event Florida Governor Election Winner
23%
implied YES probability
+3.0pp 24h

Price history

Last 90 days · High 28% · Low 14% · 7d -7.0pp · 30d +5.3pp
28%14%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.