P PolymarketWeather & Climate

Will Seoul have less than 20mm of precipitation in October?

Settles Jan 08, 2027 (68d) All outcomes: Precipitation in Seoul in October?

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Theme
Preview
chance of YES0%
Price range (120d)
0–52%
30d -98 pts · 7d -17 pts
24h volume
$20
USDC traded
Open interest
$6.1K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
—
none recorded

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability).

Open on Polymarket

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

70-85mm96%$45
20-30mm0%$18
50-70mm0%$200

How it settles

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in October, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul". If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of October at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of October 2026. If the relevant data is not available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Market odds are not forecasts or investment advice. See Terms §17.