P PolymarketWeather & Climate

Will Seattle have between 1.75 and 2.5 inches of precipitation in October?

Settles Jan 08, 2027 (68d) All outcomes: Precipitation in Seattle in October?

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Preview
chance of YES1% -2.4pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
1–34%
30d -94 pts · 7d -98 pts
24h volume
$1.4K
USDC traded
Open interest
$6.5K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
—
none recorded

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability).

Open on Polymarket

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

<1.75"99%$197
2.5-3"1%$740

How it settles

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between October 1 and October 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for October 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of October 2026. If the relevant data is not available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Market odds are not forecasts or investment advice. See Terms §17.