What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 3%, implying a 3% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

P PolymarketTech & AI

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Settles Jul 01, 2027 (242d) All outcomes: OpenAI IPO by...?

chance of YES3% -0.9pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

3–22%

30d -17 pts · 7d -5 pts

24h volume

$2.7K

USDC traded

Open interest

$138.5K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability).

Related stocks

IPO

Open on Polymarket

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

June 30, 202745%$366

March 31, 202719%$706

August 31, 20260%—

September 30, 20260%—

July 31, 20260%—

December 31, 20250%—

June 30, 20260%—

How it settles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

Market odds are not forecasts or investment advice. See Terms §17.