P PolymarketCrypto

Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Settles Jan 01, 2028 (426d) All outcomes: Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?

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chance of YES88% +0.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
64–92%
30d +5 pts · 7d +1 pts
24h volume
—
USDC traded
Open interest
$1.2M
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
—
none recorded

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability).

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We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

$100M98%$412
$300M94%$100
$200M93%$127
$800M72%$174
$1B56%$6.4K
$2B28%$9.5K
$3B13%$2.8K
$4B6%$1.5K

How it settles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Market odds are not forecasts or investment advice. See Terms §17.