What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 1%, implying a 1% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

P PolymarketPolitics & Elections

Ilhan Omar federally charged by October 31?

Settles Jan 01, 2027 (61d) All outcomes: Ilhan Omar federally charged by...?

chance of YES1% -1.5pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

1–9%

· 7d -87 pts

24h volume

$305

USDC traded

Open interest

$61.2K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability).

Open on Polymarket

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

December 3136%$5.2K

How it settles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Ilhan Omar between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Market odds are not forecasts or investment advice. See Terms §17.