Ardelyx, Inc.(ARDX)
Stock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership.
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.
- 52-Week Range
- $3.49 – $8.40
- YTD
- +3.17%
- IV Rank (30D)
- 37.89
- Straddle Price
- $0.85
- P/C Vol Ratio
- 0.34
- Market Cap
- $1.5B
A blended fair-value estimate combining up to six valuation methods. Each method is weighted by how well it fits the company — DCF down-weights for unprofitable names; DDM only fires for steady dividend payers; comparables down-weight when peer multiples disagree.
- DCF (quality-aware) — projects free cash flow with a horizon that scales to business quality. True compounders (quality 6/6) get 10 years explicit + 10 years fade before terminal; cyclical/struggling names (quality 0-1) get a 5-year terminal cliff. Quality is scored from ROE, gross margin, growth, FCF margin, debt load, and FCF consistency — the same factors that drive market premium for compounders.
- Market-Implied Growth (in Model Inputs) — reverse-DCF that answers "what growth rate is the market pricing in?". Lets you sanity-check the deviation: if implied growth is plausible for the business, the model's bearish flag may be wrong; if implausible, the market may be over-extrapolating.
- DDM (Gordon Growth Dividend Model) — values the stream of future dividends. Only used when trailing yield ≥ 0.5% and dividend payments are stable.
- P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/B, P/S — applies the peer-group median multiple to this company's per-share metric. Peers come from the same set as the "Related symbols" card. Earnings/sales metrics are forward-tilted by the company's recent revenue growth (capped at 25%) so they're comparable to peers' growth-embedded multiples — mimics how analysts use NTM rather than TTM. Per-multiple weights are biased by company quality (e.g. P/B down-weighted for asset-light tech).
- Market Anchor (SMA50) — the 50-day moving average, weighted by recent trading-range stability (tighter Bollinger bands → higher weight). Captures information fundamentals miss (forward consensus, sentiment, supply/demand) — but only when recent trading is steady enough that the market has converged on a view. During wild breakouts or breakdowns the anchor's weight collapses.
- Options Expected (B-L 30d) — the risk-neutral expected stock price at 30-day options expiration, derived from the full implied-volatility surface via Breeden-Litzenberger (second derivative of call price wrt strike → implied PDF, then E[S_T]). Forward-looking, captures all options-implied information (smile, skew, term structure) in one number. Weighted by chain liquidity. SP500-only at present (pre-computed daily). Backtest evidence: adds modest alpha across most bucket × holding combos.
- Blended value — weighted average. Confidence reflects how many methods fired and how tight peer dispersion is.
- Deviation pill — green when blended FV ≥ 10% above current price (undervalued); red when ≥ 10% below; grey otherwise.
| 10-yr Treasury (rf) | 4.49% |
| Beta vs SPY | 1.00 |
| Cost of Equity (CAPM) | 9.99% (VRP-adj) |
| WACC | 9.18% |
| Volatility Risk Premium | +114.9pp (IV − HV30), ERP adj +50bps |
| Effective Tax Rate | 21.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY, DCF input) | -3.3% |
| DCF Horizon | 5 years explicit + fade |
| Free Cash Flow (TTM) | $-0.0B |
| Return on Equity (TTM) | -39.1% |
| Book / Price | 10.1% |
| Gross Margin (TTM) | 92.5% |
| FCF Margin (TTM) | -8.8% |
| Debt / Equity | 1.37 |
| Quality Score | 1/6 — cyclical/struggling (5y DCF) |
| SMA 50 | $6.15 (Market Anchor value) |
| SMA 20 / Bollinger Mid | $5.81 |
| Bollinger Width / SMA20 | 344.0% (drives anchor stability) |
| Net Debt | $0.2B |
| Market Cap | $1B |
| Horizon | Expected α | z Pred | Blended z | Rank % | Active? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21d | -2.8% ⚠ | +0.35 | +0.18 | 35.4% | — |
| 42d | -5.4% ⚠ | -0.01 | +0.00 | 22.6% | — |
| 63d | -6.6% ⚠ | -0.25 | -0.12 | 13.9% | — |
| Method | Implied Price | Weight | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | n/a | 0% | |
| DDM (Gordon) | n/a | 0% | |
| Peer P/E | n/a | 0% | median 22.3× · 8 peers |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | n/a | 0% | median 15.0× · 8 peers |
| Peer P/B | $3.00 | 50% | median 4.9× · 8 peers |
| Peer P/S | $10.91 | 50% | median 6.2× · 8 peers |
| Market Anchor (SMA50) | $6.15 | 0% | stability 0% (BB-width) |
| Options Expected (B-L 30d) | n/a | 0% |
- Industry (SIC)
- PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS (2834)
- Exchange
- XNAS
- Market Cap
- $1.5B
Ardelyx Inc is a biopharmaceutical company developing and commercialize, first-in-class medicines that meet unmet medical needs. It has developed a platform that enabled the discovery of new biological mechanisms and pathways to develop potent and efficacious therapies that minimize the side effects and drug-drug interactions frequently encountered with traditional, systemically absorbed medicines. Its products Tenapanor, branded as IBSRELA, is used for the treatment of adults with IBS-C. Tenapanor, branded as XPHOZAH, is used to reduce serum phosphorus in adults with CKD on dialysis as add-on…
| Month | Avg Return | Years of Data |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | +9.87% | 6 |
| Feb | -5.88% | 6 |
| Mar | +4.00% | 6 |
| Apr | -1.06% | 6 |
| May | -6.75% | 6 |
| Jun | +0.37% | 6 |
| Jul | -11.28% | 5 |
| Aug | +8.10% | 5 |
| Sep | -0.49% | 5 |
| Oct | -3.80% | 5 |
| Nov | -3.47% | 5 |
| Dec | +13.16% | 5 |
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
Trend Indicators
Momentum Oscillators
Volume & Volatility
Data Summary
Choose Frenzy-Fast™ for quick analysis or Frenzy-Pro™ for comprehensive analysis.
Analysis includes technical indicators, news sentiment, risk assessment, and specific price levels to watch.
| Earnings Date | Timing | Expected Move | Actual Move | Ratio | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-01 | After-Close | 25.74% | 1.14% | 0.04x | Within |
| 2024-10-31 | After-Close | 13.91% | 3.34% | 0.24x | Within |
| 2025-02-20 | Pre-Market | 13.36% | 9.62% | 0.72x | Within |
| 2025-05-01 | After-Close | 19.14% | 25.18% | 1.32x | Exceeded |
| 2025-08-04 | After-Close | 17.54% | 2.81% | 0.16x | Within |
| 2025-10-30 | After-Close | 23.21% | 7.50% | 0.32x | Within |
| 2026-01-08 | Pre-Market | 15.96% | 20.88% | 1.31x | Exceeded |
| 2026-04-30 | After-Close | 18.56% | 8.69% | 0.47x | Within |
- IV Rank (30D)
- 37.89
- IV Rank (7D)
- 37.89
- Avg IV
- 155.9%
- Straddle (30D)
- $0.85
- Straddle (7D)
- $0.85
- P/C Volume
- 0.34
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.
Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol pointsHow much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.
- Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
- Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
- Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
- Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each sideWhich side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.
- Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
- Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
- Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
- Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:
- High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
- Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
- Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.
- Beta (1Y vs SPY)
- 0.90
- Correlation (SPY)
- 18.2%
- R²
- 0.03
- Ann. Volatility
- 61.4%
- SPY Volatility
- 12.4%
Moderate volatility - stock generally follows market
Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.
- Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
- Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
- % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
- Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.
Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ORACLE INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC | $3.50M | 25.99% | 2025-12-31 |
| 2 | SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP Custodian | $1.98M | 14.73% | 2026-03-31 |
| 3 | GROUP ONE TRADING LLC Custodian | $1.48M | 10.98% | 2026-03-31 |
| 4 | JANE STREET GROUP, LLC Custodian | $1.47M | 10.89% | 2026-03-31 |
| 5 | MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC Custodian | $1.21M | 8.97% | 2026-03-31 |
| 6 | Stonepine Capital Management, LLC | $898.50K | 6.68% | 2026-03-31 |
| 7 | Caption Management, LLC | $898.50K | 6.68% | 2026-03-31 |
| 8 | CITADEL ADVISORS LLC Custodian | $760.73K | 5.65% | 2026-03-31 |
| 9 | SIMPLEX TRADING, LLC Custodian | $654.11K | 4.86% | 2026-03-31 |
| 10 | RAYMOND JAMES FINANCIAL INC Custodian | $250.00K | 1.86% | 2026-03-31 |
| 11 | WOLVERINE TRADING, LLC Custodian | $171.72K | 1.28% | 2025-09-30 |
| 12 | IMC-Chicago, LLC Custodian | $111.41K | 0.83% | 2026-03-31 |
| 13 | TUDOR INVESTMENT CORP ET AL | $82.66K | 0.61% | 2026-03-31 |
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP Custodian | $1.49M | 23.65% | 2026-03-31 |
| 2 | JANE STREET GROUP, LLC Custodian | $1.43M | 22.63% | 2026-03-31 |
| 3 | Caption Management, LLC | $1.20M | 19.01% | 2026-03-31 |
| 4 | CITADEL ADVISORS LLC Custodian | $1.03M | 16.35% | 2026-03-31 |
| 5 | SIMPLEX TRADING, LLC Custodian | $358.80K | 5.69% | 2026-03-31 |
| 6 | WOLVERINE TRADING, LLC Custodian | $297.83K | 4.73% | 2025-09-30 |
| 7 | GROUP ONE TRADING LLC Custodian | $269.55K | 4.28% | 2026-03-31 |
| 8 | IMC-Chicago, LLC Custodian | $230.62K | 3.66% | 2026-03-31 |
| Filed | Reporter | Role | Action | Shares | Avg Price | Net $ | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-18 | DAVID M MOTT | Director | Award (A) | +46,737 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-18 | William C JR Bertrand | Director | Award (A) | +38,800 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-18 | Muna Bhanji | Director | Award (A) | +26,455 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-18 | Onaiza Cadoret-Manier | Director | Award (A) | +26,455 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-18 | Richard J Rodgers | Director | Award (A) | +26,455 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-18 | Merdad Parsey | Director | Award (A) | +26,455 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-18 | Robert B Bazemore | Director | Award (A) | +26,455 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-17 | MICHAEL RAAB | President & CEO | Mixed | −20,833 | $4.11 | -$215.7K | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-22 | James Parker Brady | Chief Human Resources Officer | Sell (S) | −1,846 | $6.27 | -$11.6K | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-22 | Eric Duane Foster | Chief Commercial Officer | Sell (S) | −7,998 | $6.27 | -$50.1K | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-22 | Joseph James Reilly | See Remarks | Sell (S) | −3,719 | $6.27 | -$23.3K | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-22 | Mike Kelliher | Chief Business Officer | Sell (S) | −7,248 | $6.27 | -$45.4K | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-22 | Susan Hohenleitner | Chief Financial Officer | Sell (S) | −1,455 | $6.27 | -$9.1K | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-22 | MICHAEL RAAB | President & CEO | Sell (S) | −54,748 | $6.27 | -$343.1K | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-22 | John E Bishop | See Remarks | Sell (S) | −2,306 | $6.27 | -$14.5K | EDGAR |
| # | Insider | Role | Shares | Disclosed Exposure | Lifetime OM Net | Filings | Last Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PETER J BARRIS | 10%+ Owner | 9,579,210 | $60.78M | $84.96M | 7 | 2019-12-09 |
| 2 | M JAMES BARRETT | 10%+ Owner | 9,169,210 | $58.17M | $31.61M | 5 | 2018-05-30 |
| 3 | KRISHNA KITTU KOLLURI | 10%+ Owner | 8,752,543 | $55.53M | $84.99M | 4 | 2016-07-20 |
| 4 | NEA Partners 12, Limited Partnership | 10%+ Owner | 8,541,623 | $54.19M | $0 | 2 | 2020-06-12 |
| 5 | PATRICK J KERINS | 10%+ Owner | 8,097,725 | $51.38M | $31.67M | 7 | 2020-06-12 |
| 6 | New Enterprise Associates 12, Limited Partnership | 10%+ Owner | 8,086,401 | $51.30M | $95.00M | 5 | 2020-06-12 |
| 7 | RYAN D DRANT | 10%+ Owner | 7,489,426 | $47.52M | $20.00M | 2 | 2015-06-09 |
| 8 | DAVID M MOTT | Director | 6,831,841 | $43.35M | $65.06M | 31 | 2026-06-18 |
| 9 | FOREST BASKETT | 10%+ Owner | 6,207,480 | $39.38M | $80.59M | 10 | 2021-12-27 |
| 10 | Mohamad Makhzoumi | 10%+ Owner | 3,482,186 | $22.09M | $0 | 1 | 2019-12-09 |
What is Form 144? A notice of intent to sell restricted or control stock under Rule 144. Affiliates (officers, directors, 10%+ owners) and holders of restricted shares must file Form 144 when planning to sell more than 5,000 shares or $50,000 in any 3-month rolling window.
How it relates to Form 4: Form 144 is filed before the trade (up to 90 days in advance); Form 4 is filed within 2 business days after the trade executes. Not every Form 144 results in a sale — the filer may cancel or delay. Look for the corresponding Form 4 on the Insider Activity card to confirm a sale actually happened.
10b5-1 plans: Trades made under a pre-scheduled Rule 10b5-1 plan are not discretionary — they execute automatically on dates set months earlier, regardless of news. High 10b5-1 percentages mean less per-filing signal value, though cumulative selling volume still matters.
"Notice value": Aggregate market value the filer wrote into the Form 144 — i.e. the size of the planned sale, not necessarily the executed dollars. Amendments (Form 144/A) and post-cancellation refilings can inflate this if you sum naively; the rollup above excludes filings with zero stated value.
Source & freshness: Parsed directly from EDGAR primary-doc XML. Daily refresh; new filings typically appear here the morning after they hit EDGAR.
| Filed | Filer | Role | Shares | Notice Value | Planned Sale | Broker | Plan | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-18 | LAURA WILLIAMS | Officer | 81,898 | $478.3K | 2026-06-18 | Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC … | 10b5-1 | EDGAR |
| 2026-06-17 144/A | RAAB MICHAEL | Officer, Director | 41,666 | $236.7K | 2026-06-15 | Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC … | 10b5-1 | EDGAR |
| 2026-06-15 | MICHAEL RAAB | Director, Officer | 125,000 | $711.2K | 2026-06-15 | Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC … | 10b5-1 | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-19 | Hohenleitner Susan | Officer | 2,650 | $16.5K | 2026-05-19 | Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC … | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-19 | Brady James Parker | Officer | 3,000 | $18.7K | 2026-05-19 | Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC … | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-19 | Reilly Joseph James | Officer | 4,700 | $29.3K | 2026-05-19 | Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC … | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-19 | Foster Eric Duane | Officer | 11,900 | $74.1K | 2026-05-19 | Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC … | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-19 | Kelliher Mike | Officer | 10,500 | $65.4K | 2026-05-19 | Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC … | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-19 | Williams Laura A | Officer | 10,500 | $65.4K | 2026-05-19 | Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC … | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-19 | RAAB MICHAEL | Officer | 44,500 | $277.2K | 2026-05-19 | Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC … | — | EDGAR |
| # | ETF | Provider | Weight | $ Exposure | ETF AUM | As Of |
|---|
Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.
- Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
- Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
- Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
- Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
- Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
- YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
- Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
- Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.
TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.
| P/B Ratio | 10.1 |
| P/S Ratio | 3.5 |
| EV/EBITDA | -49.0 |
| TTM Revenue | $0.4B |
| TTM Net Income | $-0.1B |
| TTM EPS | $-0.24 |
| ROE | -39.1% |
| Debt/Equity | 1.37 |