BFS · Expected Move

Saul Centers, Inc.

The expected move for BFS is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

BFS straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current BFS Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$4.97
7-Day Straddle
$4.97
30-Day ATM IV
46.0%
IV Rank
53%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to BFS's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
BFS Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261022 $4.97 $4.97 46.0% 53%
20261021 $2.17 $2.17 35.2% 26%
20261020 $2.98 $2.98 43.9% 48%
20261019 $1.73 $1.73 47.1% 56%
20261016 $1.73 $1.30 30.1% 14%
20261015 $2.10 $2.00 32.8% 21%
20261014 $1.85 $1.48 29.8% 13%
20261013 $3.60 $1.83 49.0% 60%
20261012 $3.88 $1.27 53.9% 73%
20261009 $2.27 $1.42 29.4% 13%
20261008 $2.90 $3.38 48.3% 59%
20261007 $3.62 $2.20 45.0% 51%
20261006 $4.08 $3.57 50.1% 64%
20261005 $3.83 $3.60 49.9% 63%
20261002 $3.05 $3.05 32.8% 21%
20261001 $2.42 $2.42 33.0% 22%
20260930 $3.60 $3.60 46.2% 54%
20260929 $1.95 $1.95 30.8% 17%
20260928 $1.40 $1.40 28.2% 10%
20260925 $1.40 $1.40 — —
20260924 $2.02 $2.02 40.9% 41%
20260923 $4.80 $4.80 32.0% 22%
20260922 $1.98 $1.98 32.9% 25%
20260921 $2.15 $2.15 35.7% 31%
20260918 $2.17 $0.93 40.2% 42%
20260917 $2.27 $1.35 34.4% 28%
20260916 $4.20 $4.45 44.7% 52%
20260915 $4.45 $1.60 65.1% 100%
20260914 $3.58 $1.52 — —
20260911 $3.62 $2.62 41.6% 48%
20260910 $3.08 $3.05 42.5% 51%
20260909 $3.62 $2.88 42.3% 50%
20260908 $4.58 $2.75 45.1% 58%
20260904 $4.00 $3.55 38.2% 40%
20260903 $5.90 $3.18 35.4% 33%
20260902 $3.80 $3.80 55.5% 84%
20260901 $10.65 $10.65 33.6% 28%
20260831 $2.45 $2.45 44.1% 55%
20260828 $8.47 $8.47 — —
20260827 $2.15 $2.15 36.5% 36%
20260826 $3.80 $3.80 31.4% 23%
20260825 $4.00 $4.00 44.1% 55%
20260824 $3.27 $3.27 47.1% 63%
20260821 $2.42 $2.67 24.7% 3%
20260820 $2.08 $1.27 36.0% 18%
20260819 $2.17 $2.80 37.7% 21%
20260818 $4.82 $2.92 47.5% 34%
20260817 $2.23 $4.10 32.8% 14%
20260814 $2.38 $1.12 28.8% 9%
20260813 $4.47 $3.45 34.0% 16%
20260812 $4.88 $1.35 53.4% 42%
20260811 $1.88 $1.38 24.4% 3%
20260810 $2.17 $2.92 27.1% 6%
20260806 $2.55 $2.50 31.2% 12%
20260805 $3.47 $3.47 43.3% 29%
20260804 $5.17 $5.17 61.8% 54%
20260803 $4.80 $4.80 44.7% 30%
20260731 $4.90 $4.90 45.6% 32%
20260730 $4.82 $4.82 49.9% 38%
20260729 $3.52 $3.52 43.2% 28%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.