FLY · Expected Move
Firefly Aerospace Inc. Common Stock
The expected move for FLY is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).
FLY straddle price & implied vol
60 sessionsBars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).
Current FLY Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$4.12
7-Day Straddle
$1.23
30-Day ATM IV
106.3%
IV Rank
63%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to FLY's realized
move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime)
or too little (premium-buying regime). The
Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by
this measure.
FLY Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
| Date | 30D Straddle | 7D Straddle | ATM IV | IV Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20261026 | $4.12 | $1.23 | 106.3% | 63% |
| 20261023 | $4.47 | $1.68 | 106.6% | 63% |
| 20261022 | $4.08 | $1.85 | 103.0% | 56% |
| 20261021 | $4.03 | $1.85 | 102.5% | 55% |
| 20261020 | $4.45 | $1.92 | 112.1% | 75% |
| 20261019 | $3.77 | $1.10 | 97.2% | 44% |
| 20261016 | $3.67 | $1.52 | 98.5% | 46% |
| 20261015 | $3.83 | $1.88 | 95.7% | 41% |
| 20261014 | $3.53 | $1.80 | 91.3% | 32% |
| 20261013 | $3.73 | $1.92 | 88.2% | 25% |
| 20261012 | $3.98 | $1.58 | 87.3% | 23% |
| 20261009 | $3.78 | $1.70 | 86.4% | 22% |
| 20261008 | $3.85 | $1.95 | 83.4% | 15% |
| 20261007 | $4.38 | $2.12 | 86.1% | 21% |
| 20261006 | $4.80 | $2.58 | 89.1% | 26% |
| 20261005 | $4.53 | $1.75 | 84.0% | 15% |
| 20261002 | $4.17 | $2.25 | 82.1% | 10% |
| 20261001 | $4.30 | $2.15 | 83.5% | 13% |
| 20260930 | $4.12 | $2.35 | 78.7% | 5% |
| 20260929 | $4.45 | $2.62 | 83.5% | 13% |
| 20260928 | $4.65 | $2.20 | 82.6% | 11% |
| 20260925 | $4.35 | $2.17 | 81.0% | 8% |
| 20260924 | $3.92 | $2.25 | 76.8% | 1% |
| 20260923 | $3.97 | $2.22 | 79.4% | 6% |
| 20260922 | $4.28 | $2.52 | 79.6% | 6% |
| 20260921 | $4.55 | $1.77 | 83.7% | 13% |
| 20260918 | $3.58 | $1.80 | 78.8% | 5% |
| 20260917 | $3.80 | $1.98 | 77.7% | 3% |
| 20260916 | $3.42 | $2.02 | 76.0% | 0% |
| 20260915 | $3.55 | $2.20 | 78.0% | 1% |
| 20260914 | $4.10 | $1.60 | 81.3% | 7% |
| 20260911 | $3.77 | $1.82 | 80.6% | 6% |
| 20260910 | $3.92 | $2.20 | 83.1% | 10% |
| 20260909 | $3.95 | $2.17 | 79.8% | 4% |
| 20260908 | $4.40 | $2.45 | 82.2% | 9% |
| 20260904 | $3.80 | $1.38 | 77.7% | 1% |
| 20260903 | $3.65 | $1.62 | 78.2% | 2% |
| 20260902 | $3.70 | $1.85 | 77.2% | 0% |
| 20260901 | $3.77 | $2.17 | 78.3% | 0% |
| 20260831 | $4.05 | $1.35 | 80.1% | 0% |
| 20260828 | $3.97 | $1.93 | 84.8% | 1% |
| 20260827 | $4.25 | $2.10 | 86.1% | 4% |
| 20260826 | $4.55 | $2.42 | 90.2% | 12% |
| 20260825 | $4.72 | $2.58 | 91.1% | 14% |
| 20260824 | $5.08 | $2.05 | 93.8% | 19% |
| 20260821 | $4.83 | $2.45 | 88.2% | 8% |
| 20260820 | $4.60 | $2.25 | 86.5% | 5% |
| 20260819 | $5.20 | $3.08 | 89.7% | 11% |
| 20260818 | $5.28 | $3.23 | 88.2% | 8% |
| 20260817 | $5.90 | $2.17 | 91.8% | 15% |
| 20260814 | $4.85 | $2.62 | 84.2% | 0% |
| 20260813 | $5.55 | $2.85 | 91.8% | 1% |
| 20260812 | $5.50 | $3.15 | 91.2% | 0% |
| 20260811 | $7.05 | $4.95 | 113.7% | 45% |
| 20260810 | $7.28 | $4.25 | 120.4% | 62% |
| 20260807 | — | — | 119.7% | 60% |
| 20260806 | $6.40 | $4.50 | 120.9% | 63% |
| 20260805 | $6.38 | $4.33 | 123.1% | 69% |
| 20260804 | $6.65 | $5.25 | 124.4% | 73% |
| 20260803 | $6.15 | $2.25 | 122.3% | 67% |
More on FLY
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.