GBTC (Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF)

Expected Move & Straddle Price History

The expected move for GBTC is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.

Current GBTC Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$3.30
7-Day Straddle
$2.90
Avg IV
0.6%
IV Rank
29%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to GBTC's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
GBTC Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleAvg IVIV Rank
20260302 $3.30 $2.90 0.6% 29%
20260227 $5.70 $2.90 0.5% 18%
20260226 $5.90 $3.03 0.5% 18%
20260225 $6.65 $3.47 0.5% 18%
20260224 $6.15 $3.65 0.5% 20%
20260223 $6.38 $2.75 0.5% 21%
20260221 $6.25 $2.70 1.1% 100%
20260220 $6.25 $2.70 1.1% 97%
20260219 $6.33 $3.33 1.1% 100%
20260218 $6.53 $3.45 1.0% 92%
20260217 $6.80 $3.53 1.0% 100%
20260213 $6.80 $3.12 0.6% 43%
20260212 $6.72 $3.35 0.7% 52%
20260211 $6.70 $4.03 0.6% 48%
20260210 $7.55 $4.25 0.6% 41%
20260209 $7.30 $2.92 0.6% 44%
20260206 $7.25 $3.73 0.6% 47%
20260205 $10.15 $6.88 0.9% 100%
20260204 $7.62 $4.88 0.6% 60%
20260203 $7.40 $4.93 0.6% 68%
20260202 $6.90 $2.70 0.5% 28%
20260130 $6.30 $2.47 0.5% 17%
20260129 $5.97 $2.95 0.5% 19%
20260128 $5.20 $3.65 0.4% 4%
20260127 $6.53 $3.70 0.4% 0%
20260126 $6.35 $2.20 0.4% 5%
20260123 $5.92 $3.25 0.4% 4%
20260122 $6.12 $3.05 0.4% 4%
20260121 $6.50 $3.30 0.4% 3%
20260120 $5.85 $3.78 0.5% 15%
20260116 $6.50 $2.73 0.4% 5%
20260115 $6.90 $2.95 0.5% 24%
20260114 $7.05 $3.78 0.4% 13%
20260113 $7.00 $3.75 0.4% 6%
20260112 $7.40 $2.17 0.4% 18%
20260109 $6.12 $2.95 0.4% 9%
20260108 $6.38 $3.40 0.4% 16%
20260107 $7.25 $3.83 0.5% 23%
20260106 $7.35 $4.30 0.5% 26%
20260105 $7.97 $2.72 0.4% 16%
20260102 $6.43 $2.85 0.4% 18%
20251231 $6.43 $3.27 0.4% 14%
20251230 $6.40 $3.45 0.4% 13%
20251229 $6.60 $2.15 0.4% 13%
20251226 $6.10 $2.72 0.5% 20%
20251224 $6.50 $3.12 0.5% 21%
20251223 $6.65 $3.50 0.5% 20%
20251222 $7.22 $2.40 0.5% 23%
20251219 $7.15 $3.17 0.6% 57%
20251218 $7.03 $3.65 0.6% 72%
20251217 $7.20 $4.03 0.6% 53%
20251216 $6.78 $3.88 0.6% 66%
20251215 $7.40 $3.05 0.6% 61%
20251212 $6.80 $3.23 0.5% 29%
20251211 $7.03 $3.52 0.5% 24%
20251210 $7.80 $4.17 0.5% 44%
20251209 $7.95 $5.15 0.5% 41%
20251208 $7.65 $3.42 0.5% 35%
20251205 $6.85 $3.97 0.6% 51%
20251204 $7.45 $3.90 0.5% 36%