Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF(GBTC)

Stock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership.

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.

GBTC $51.06
Snapshot
$51.06
52-Week Range
$44.98 – $99.12
YTD
-27.20%
IV Rank (30D)
28.99
Straddle Price
$3.30
P/C Vol Ratio
0.32
Info
Industry (SIC)
COMMODITY CONTRACTS BROKERS & DEALERS (6221)
Exchange
ARCX
Summary
composite
No summary data available for this symbol yet.

Each spoke is this symbol's rank within its sector (0–100; the dotted ring marks the sector median at 50). Higher is more constructive for a long. One spoke — News sentiment — is an absolute reading, not a sector rank. Grayed spokes have no data. A fuller shape is a summary, not a recommendation.

Chart
Seasonality
MonthAvg ReturnYears of Data
Jan +4.71% 5
Feb +4.84% 5
Mar +8.62% 5
Apr -1.07% 5
May -3.46% 5
Jun -6.15% 5
Jul +5.77% 5
Aug -0.56% 5
Sep +1.33% 5
Oct +10.88% 4
Nov +2.36% 4
Dec -0.31% 5
Technical Indicators

Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.

Trend Indicators
  • SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
  • EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
  • MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
  • ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
  • +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
Momentum Oscillators
  • RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
  • Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
  • Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.

Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.

Volume & Volatility
  • Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
  • OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
  • Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
  • ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
  • HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.

Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →

Trend Indicators

SMA 20: $58.40
SMA 50: $53.13
SMA 200: $58.01
Current: $59.77
EMA 12: $59.77
EMA 26: $57.41
MACD: 2.3697 | Signal: -0.2576
BULLISH
ADX (14): 35.41
TREND
+DI: 42.84
−DI: 18.08

Momentum Oscillators

RSI (14): 59.31
NEUTRAL
Stoch %K: 32.51
Stoch %D: 54.79
Williams %R: -83.49

Volume & Volatility

BB Upper: $66.97
BB Lower: $49.84
NEUTRAL
OBV: -100,667,056
Vol SMA 20: 2,268,066
Vol ROC: -19.99%
ATR: $1.74
True Range: $2.31
HV 20: 45.6%
HV 30: 39.7%
HV 60: 36.7%

Data Summary

Data Points: 500
Last Updated:
Date Range: 2024-09-13T00:00:00 – 2026-09-11T00:00:00
AI Analysis

Choose Frenzy-Fast™ for quick analysis or Frenzy-Pro™ for comprehensive analysis.

Analysis includes technical indicators, news sentiment, risk assessment, and specific price levels to watch.

News
Options Activity
IV Rank (30D)
28.99
IV Rank (7D)
80.84
Avg IV
60.4%
Straddle (30D)
$3.30
Straddle (7D)
$2.90
P/C Volume
0.32
Spread Scanner GPU

Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →

Stage 1 — Base Score (GPU scanner)

score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.

Stage 2 — Skew Adjustment (±25% cap)

RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.

Stage 3 — Technical Overlay (±50% cap, 5 groups)
Group 1 · Directional Bias (±0.25)
  • RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
  • MACD crossover + histogram trend
  • Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
Group 2 · Momentum (±0.10)
  • Stochastic %K <20 / >80
  • Williams %R <−80 / >−20
Group 3 · Volatility (up to −0.25 / +0.15)
  • Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
  • Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
  • BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
Group 4 · IV Regime (±0.15)
  • IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
  • IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
Group 5 · Liquidity (penalty up to −0.10)
  • Min open interest across all legs
  • OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05

score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →

Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.

Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.

Skew (Wing IV − ATM IV)
DTE:
Wing Δ:
Metric:
Wing vs ATM
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol points

How much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.

  • Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
  • Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
  • Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
  • Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
Risk Reversal
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each side

Which side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.

  • Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
  • Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
  • Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
  • Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Reading them together

Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:

  • High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
  • Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
  • Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
14 DTE / 10d
pts EXTREME
ATM — / Wing —
30 DTE / 10d
pts EXTREME
ATM — / Wing —

Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.

Volatility Surface

Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.

Volatility Smile

Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.

IV Rank (7 DTE)
IV Rank (30 DTE)
Straddle Price (30 DTE)
Beta Analysis
Beta (1Y vs SPY)
1.72
Correlation (SPY)
48.8%
0.24
Ann. Volatility
45.1%
SPY Volatility
12.8%

High volatility - stock moves more than market

Beta & Alpha Over Time
Institutional Ownership (13F)
Latest filings — 2026-06-30

Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.

  • Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
  • Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
  • % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
  • Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.

Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.

640 filers27,891,658 shares$1.25B value
# Filer Shares Value % of Total % of Float Period
1 HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC 12,139,990 $552.61M 44.10% 2026-06-30
2 LPL Financial LLC Custodian 876,469 $39.90M 3.18% 2026-06-30
3 MSRH, LLC 422,078 $28.85M 2.30% 2025-12-31
4 MAD RIVER INVESTORS 360,139 $16.39M 1.31% 2026-06-30
5 EagleClaw Capital Managment, LLC 358,216 $16.31M 1.30% 2026-06-30
6 JANE STREET GROUP, LLC Custodian 340,363 $15.49M 1.24% 2026-06-30
7 CITADEL ADVISORS LLC Custodian 314,985 $14.34M 1.14% 2026-06-30
8 Moors & Cabot, Inc. 303,753 $13.83M 1.10% 2026-06-30
9 Mariner, LLC 278,538 $12.68M 1.01% 2026-06-30
10 KINGSWOOD WEALTH ADVISORS, LLC 278,391 $12.67M 1.01% 2026-06-30
11 Wealthfront Advisers LLC 265,593 $12.09M 0.96% 2026-06-30
12 One Charles Private Wealth Services, LLC 259,750 $11.82M 0.94% 2026-06-30
13 Beaumont Financial Advisors, LLC 249,612 $11.36M 0.91% 2026-06-30
14 Cresset Asset Management, LLC 231,216 $10.52M 0.84% 2026-06-30
15 Quadrature Capital Ltd 193,414 $8.80M 0.70% 2026-06-30
16 Focus Partners Wealth 190,971 $8.69M 0.69% 2026-06-30
17 COMMONWEALTH EQUITY SERVICES, LLC 168,831 $7.69M 0.61% 2026-06-30
18 Cetera Investment Advisers Custodian 164,245 $7.48M 0.60% 2026-06-30
19 RBF Capital, LLC 150,000 $6.83M 0.54% 2026-06-30
20 Atlas Wealth Partners, LLC 139,612 $6.36M 0.51% 2026-06-30
21 Lido Advisors, LLC 138,522 $6.31M 0.50% 2026-06-30
22 Sloy Dahl & Holst, LLC 131,538 $5.99M 0.48% 2026-06-30
23 Creative Planning Custodian 131,082 $5.97M 0.48% 2026-06-30
24 WEALTH ENHANCEMENT ADVISORY SERVICES, LLC 113,584 $5.63M 0.45% 2026-06-30
25 LAKEWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LP 123,500 $5.62M 0.45% 2026-06-30
15 filers$147.90M notional
# Filer Notional Value % of Total Period
1 ALKEON CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC $54.62M 36.93% 2026-06-30
2 SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP Custodian $25.30M 17.11% 2026-06-30
3 Vident Advisory, LLC Custodian $15.89M 10.74% 2026-06-30
4 JANE STREET GROUP, LLC Custodian $13.17M 8.90% 2026-06-30
5 IMC-Chicago, LLC Custodian $10.28M 6.95% 2026-06-30
6 CITADEL ADVISORS LLC Custodian $9.40M 6.36% 2026-06-30
7 WOLVERINE TRADING, LLC Custodian $5.76M 3.90% 2025-09-30
8 SIMPLEX TRADING, LLC Custodian $5.56M 3.76% 2026-06-30
9 Optiver Holding B.V. $4.64M 3.14% 2026-06-30
10 Walleye Trading LLC $1.48M 1.00% 2026-06-30
11 GROUP ONE TRADING LLC Custodian $1.38M 0.94% 2026-06-30
12 ZEGA Investments, LLC $227.60K 0.15% 2026-06-30
13 OLD MISSION CAPITAL LLC $151.50K 0.10% 2026-06-30
14 EPIQ PARTNERS, LLC $18.21K 0.01% 2026-06-30
15 HUB Investment Partners, LLC $9.10K <0.01% 2026-06-30
11 filers$44.23M notional
# Filer Notional Value % of Total Period
1 Vident Advisory, LLC Custodian $15.89M 35.92% 2026-06-30
2 CITADEL ADVISORS LLC Custodian $7.64M 17.27% 2026-06-30
3 SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP Custodian $6.88M 15.55% 2026-06-30
4 IMC-Chicago, LLC Custodian $3.62M 8.19% 2026-06-30
5 WOLVERINE TRADING, LLC Custodian $3.58M 8.10% 2025-09-30
6 Optiver Holding B.V. $2.22M 5.02% 2026-06-30
7 SIMPLEX TRADING, LLC Custodian $1.62M 3.66% 2026-06-30
8 JANE STREET GROUP, LLC Custodian $1.43M 3.24% 2026-06-30
9 OLD MISSION CAPITAL LLC $956.32K 2.16% 2026-06-30
10 Walleye Trading LLC $295.88K 0.67% 2026-06-30
11 GROUP ONE TRADING LLC Custodian $91.04K 0.21% 2026-06-30
ETF Holders
# ETF Provider Weight $ Exposure ETF AUM As Of
Fundamentals

Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.

Metrics
  • Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
  • Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
  • Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
  • Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
How to read the bars
  • Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
  • YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
  • Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
  • Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.

TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.