KDKRW Kodiak AI, Inc. Warrants

XNAS
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Stock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership. Iron condor setups Fibonacci levels Insider trading

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.

KDKRW — —
Key stats
About
Industry (SIC)
SERVICES-COMPUTER INTEGRATED SYSTEMS DESIGN (7373) · industry map
Exchange
XNAS
Employees
342
List Date
2025-09-25
CIK
0001853138
Headquarters
Mountain View, CA
Homepage
https://www.kodiak.ai

Kodiak AI Inc is a provider of artificial intelligence (AI)-powered autonomous vehicle technology. This technology addresses the needs of the long-haul trucking, industrial trucking, and defense industries. The company's core offering, the Kodiak Driver, is a single-platform virtual driver that combines advanced AI software with modular hardware for customer deployments. All company operations are conducted in the United States. The company has one operating and reportable segment related to the development of autonomous vehicle technology and related services that can be applied at scale acro…

Summary
—
composite
—
No summary data available for this symbol yet.

Each spoke is this symbol's rank within its sector (0–100; the dotted ring marks the sector median at 50). Higher is more constructive for a long. One spoke — News sentiment — is an absolute reading, not a sector rank. Grayed spokes have no data. A fuller shape is a summary, not a recommendation.

Chart
Seasonality
'25'26Avg
Jan---3.23%-3.23%
Feb---1.35%-1.35%
Mar---24.48%-24.48%
Apr--30.25%30.25%
May---28.21%-28.21%
Jun---31.47%-31.47%
Jul---10.86%-10.86%
Aug---19.47%-19.47%
Sep-5.75%-46.55%-26.15%
Oct163.36%-31.25%*66.06%
Nov-38.47%---38.47%
Dec30.77%--30.77%
Total99.72%-87.81%5.95%
* Only 2 year(s) of data available.
Technical Indicators

Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.

Trend Indicators
  • SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
  • EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
  • MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
  • ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
  • +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
Momentum Oscillators
  • RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
  • Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
  • Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.

Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.

Volume & Volatility
  • Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
  • OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
  • Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
  • ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
  • HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.

Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →

Trend Indicators

SMA 20: $0.30
SMA 50: $0.47
SMA 200: $1.03
Current: $0.22
EMA 12: $0.28
EMA 26: $0.34
MACD: -0.0660 | Signal: -0.0011
BEARISH
ADX (14): 20.88
WEAK TREND
+DI: 16.55
−DI: 28.47

Momentum Oscillators

RSI (14): 29.10
OVERSOLD
Stoch %K: 17.04
Stoch %D: 13.63
Williams %R: -80.95

Volume & Volatility

BB Upper: $0.40
BB Lower: $0.21
NEUTRAL
OBV: 5,306,516
Vol SMA 20: 23,785
Vol ROC: -90.59%
ATR: $0.06
True Range: $0.01
HV 20: 160.0%
HV 30: 153.2%
HV 60: 129.1%

Data Summary

Data Points: 264
Last Updated:
Date Range: 2025-09-25T00:00:00 – 2026-10-26T00:00:00
AI Analysis

LLM Stock Analysis Report: KDKRW

Executive Summary

Overall Assessment: NEUTRAL with confidence level 6/10

Key Drivers:

  • Recent positive news headlines from Cathie Wood's investment in Kodiak
  • Trend indicators indicate a potential reversal or consolidation

Primary Risks:

  • Volatility remains elevated, increasing the risk of sharp price movements
  • Lack of earnings data and options activity hinders accurate risk assessment

Investment Thesis: KDKRW is an attractive stock for investors seeking to capitalize on potential reversals or consolidations. The recent positive news headlines may provide a catalyst for further gains, but caution is advised due to elevated volatility.

Recent News Sentiment Impact: The positive news headlines from Cathie Wood's investment and the strategic agreement with Bosch have contributed to a neutral sentiment assessment, as the news does not significantly diverge from the technical signals.

Technical Analysis

Trend Direction: Short-term: BEARISH, Medium-term: NEUTRAL, Long-term: BULLISH

Support/Resistance Levels:

  • Lower band: $0.83
  • Middle line: $1.04
  • Upper band: $1.24

Momentum Signals:

  • RSI (14): 36.72 (neutral)
  • MACD: -0.10 / Signal: 0.01 / Histogram: -0.11 (bearish)

Volume Analysis: Volume trends and institutional interest signals:

  • Volume SMA 20: 79641.10
  • On-Balance Volume (OBV): 5512054.22
  • Volume Rate of Change: -93.25%

News & Sentiment Analysis

Recent Headlines Summary: Key themes from last 10 news articles:

  • Positive headlines from Cathie Wood's investment and strategic agreement with Bosch

Sentiment Assessment: Aggregate news sentiment: POSITIVE

Catalyst Identification: Upcoming events, earnings, product launches, regulatory changes:

  • No specific catalysts identified due to lack of earnings data and options activity

Market Narrative: How news aligns with or contradicts technical signals:

  • Recent positive news headlines support the neutral to bullish long-term trend direction

Risk & Volatility Assessment

Beta Interpretation: Risk relative to market (beta >1.2 = high risk, <0.8 = defensive):

  • Beta: 1.19 (above average volatility - stock moves with market amplification)

Volatility Regime: Current vs historical volatility levels:

  • Historical volatility: HV20 54.6%, HV30 81.7%, HV60 98.2%
  • Current volatility: Elevated, increasing the risk of sharp price movements

Options Market Signals: IV rank, put/call ratios, unusual activity:

  • No options data available for analysis

Market Context & Positioning

Sector Performance: Relative strength vs sector/market:

  • Sector performance: Neutral to slightly positive

Institutional Activity: Volume patterns suggesting institutional interest signals:

  • Institutional interest remains moderate due to elevated volatility and lack of clear catalysts

Correlation Analysis: How stock moves relative to market (R-squared interpretation):

  • Correlation coefficient: 0.14 (moderate correlation)

Key Levels & Action Items

Critical Price Levels:

  • Support level: $0.83
  • Resistance level: $1.04

Breakout/Breakdown Levels: Technical levels that could trigger significant moves:

  • Breakout above $1.24 for a potential continuation of the long-term uptrend
  • Breakdown below $0.83 for a potential acceleration of the short-term bearish trend

Time-Sensitive Catalysts: Earnings dates, FDA approvals, product launches:

  • No specific catalysts identified due to lack of earnings data and options activity

Risk Management: Stop-loss levels and position sizing considerations:

  • Stop-loss: Below $0.83 for a potential breakdown or above $1.24 for a potential continuation of the long-term uptrend
  • Position sizing: Adjust exposure based on market conditions and risk tolerance
Generated

KDKRW Options Activity & IV Rank

Loading options activity...
Spread Scanner GPU
Full Algorithm Docs ↗

Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →

Stage 1 — Base Score (GPU scanner)

score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.

Stage 2 — Skew Adjustment (±25% cap)

RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.

Stage 3 — Technical Overlay (±50% cap, 5 groups)
Group 1 · Directional Bias (±0.25)
  • RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
  • MACD crossover + histogram trend
  • Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
Group 2 · Momentum (±0.10)
  • Stochastic %K <20 / >80
  • Williams %R <−80 / >−20
Group 3 · Volatility (up to −0.25 / +0.15)
  • Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
  • Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
  • BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
Group 4 · IV Regime (±0.15)
  • IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
  • IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
Group 5 · Liquidity (penalty up to −0.10)
  • Min open interest across all legs
  • OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05

score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →

Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.

Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.

Skew (Wing IV − ATM IV)
DTE:
Wing Δ:
Metric:
Wing vs ATM
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol points

How much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.

  • Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
  • Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
  • Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
  • Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
Risk Reversal
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each side

Which side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.

  • Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
  • Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
  • Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
  • Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Reading them together

Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:

  • High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
  • Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
  • Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
14 DTE / 10d —
— pts EXTREME
ATM — / Wing —
30 DTE / 10d —
— pts EXTREME
ATM — / Wing —

Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.

Volatility Surface

Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.

Volatility Smile

Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.

IV Rank (7 DTE)
IV Rank (30 DTE)
Straddle Price (30 DTE)
Beta Analysis

Risk Metrics

Beta: 1.2401
Alpha: -182.14%
Correlation: 0.1406
R-Squared: 2.0%
Stock Volatility: 113.5%
Market Volatility: 12.9%

Analysis Details

Benchmark: SPY
Data Points: 242
Period: 252 trading days
Interpretation:
High volatility - stock moves more than market
Beta & Alpha Over Time

KDKRW Institutional Ownership (13F)

Latest filings — 2026-09-30

Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.

  • Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
  • Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
  • % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
  • Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.

Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.

29 filers34,501,862 shares$29.59M value
# Filer Shares Value % of Total % of Float Period
1 ARES MANAGEMENT LLC 14,300,000 $10.58M 35.77% — 2026-06-30
2 Polar Asset Management Partners Inc. 6,264,168 $4.82M 16.30% — 2026-06-30
3 BOOTHBAY FUND MANAGEMENT, LLC 840,709 $4.27M 14.44% — 2026-06-30
4 LMR Partners LLP 3,543,630 $2.62M 8.86% — 2026-06-30
5 Linden Advisors LP 1,754,950 $1.38M 4.65% — 2026-06-30
6 HIGHBRIDGE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC 1,721,147 $1.36M 4.60% — 2026-06-30
7 ARISTEIA CAPITAL, L.L.C. 1,090,279 $839.57K 2.84% — 2026-06-30
8 Alberta Investment Management Corp 850,000 $629.09K 2.13% — 2026-06-30
9 Hudson Bay Capital Management LP 761,494 $571.12K 1.93% — 2026-06-30
10 Sculptor Capital LP 557,644 $412.71K 1.40% — 2026-06-30
11 Greenland Capital Management LP 550,000 $412.50K 1.39% — 2026-06-30
12 WOLVERINE ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC 408,662 $302.45K 1.02% — 2026-06-30
13 HEALTHCARE OF ONTARIO PENSION PLAN TRUST FUND 375,000 $281.25K 0.95% — 2026-06-30
14 Caption Management, LLC 263,013 $194.66K 0.66% — 2026-06-30
15 Meteora Capital, LLC 223,523 $165.43K 0.56% — 2026-06-30
16 MOORE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LP 200,000 $148.02K 0.50% — 2026-06-30
17 Boussard & Gavaudan Investment Management LLP 100,000 $104.50K 0.35% — 2026-03-31
18 CSS LLC/IL 119,286 $88.28K 0.30% — 2026-06-30
19 BOUSSARD & GAVAUDAN GESTION SAS 100,000 $75.00K 0.25% — 2026-06-30
20 Shaolin Capital Management LLC 91,735 $67.89K 0.23% — 2026-06-30
21 BLUEFIN CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC 89,799 $67.35K 0.23% — 2026-06-30
22 DRW Securities, LLC 64,518 $47.75K 0.16% — 2026-06-30
23 Clear Street Group Inc. 50,719 $37.54K 0.13% — 2026-06-30
24 TENOR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT Co., L.P. 50,000 $37.01K 0.13% — 2026-06-30
25 TPG GP A, LLC 50,000 $37.01K 0.13% — 2026-06-30
2 filers$224.52K notional
# Filer Notional Value % of Total Period
1 Millennium Management LLC Custodian $148.02K 65.93% 2026-06-30
2 ANGELO GORDON & CO., L.P. $76.50K 34.07% 2025-12-31
# Filer Notional Value % of Total Period

KDKRW Insider Trading (Form 4)

Latest: 2026-06-16
Form 4 filings — insider beneficial-ownership changes by officers, directors, and 10%+ holders. Filed within 2 business days of transaction.
Filed Reporter Role Action Shares Avg Price Net $ Link
2026-06-16 James D Reed Director Award (A) +31,758 — EDGAR
2026-06-16 Scott R Tobin Director Award (A) +31,758 — EDGAR
2026-06-16 Kristin Sverchek Director Award (A) +31,758 — EDGAR
2026-06-16 Mohamed Elshenawy Director Award (A) +31,758 — EDGAR
2026-06-16 Kenneth A Goldman Director Award (A) +31,758 — EDGAR
2026-05-11 AAC II Holdings II LP 10%+ Owner Award (A) +769,230 — EDGAR
2026-01-02 Zsuzsanna Major Chief People Officer Exer (M) +10,000 $0.51 $5.1K EDGAR
Codes: P = open-market purchase · S = open-market sale · A = grant/award · M = option exercise · F = tax withholding at vest · G = bona-fide gift · D = disposition to issuer · J = other (described in filing footnote — typically 401(k), trust, inheritance) · W = will/inheritance. Only P / S codes carry directional signal.

KDKRW Insider Holdings

7 insiders · @ $0.22
Officers, directors, and 10%+ owners who have filed a Form 4 in the past two years, ranked by current disclosed exposure (shares × today's price). Shares are direct + indirect (via trusts / LLCs / spouse). Excludes unvested RSU and option grants — those aren't beneficially owned until vest.
# Insider Role Shares Disclosed Exposure Lifetime OM Net Filings Last Filed
1 AAC II Holdings II LP 10%+ Owner 4,360,857 $959.4K $0 1 2026-05-11
2 Scott R Tobin Director 247,528 $54.5K $0 1 2026-06-16
3 Kenneth A Goldman Director 31,758 $7.0K $0 1 2026-06-16
4 James D Reed Director 31,758 $7.0K $0 1 2026-06-16
5 Kristin Sverchek Director 31,758 $7.0K $0 1 2026-06-16
6 Mohamed Elshenawy Director 31,758 $7.0K $0 1 2026-06-16
7 Zsuzsanna Major Chief People Officer 10,000 $2.2K $0 1 2026-01-02
Lifetime OM Net = signed sum of open-market buys (P) and sells (S) over their career; excludes grants, tax withholdings, and dispositions to issuer. A large negative number is normal for long-tenured executives — they've sold compensation grants over many years.
ETF Holders
# ETF Provider Weight $ Exposure ETF AUM As Of
Fundamentals

Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.

Metrics
  • Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
  • Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
  • Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
  • Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
How to read the bars
  • Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
  • YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
  • Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
  • Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.

TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.