SMZ Tradr 2X Short SMR Daily ETF
ETF 19.54 DelayedETF quote, holdings, sector allocation, technicals, and options analytics. Fibonacci levels
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.
- 52-Week Range
- $10.60 – $67.83
- YTD
- -31.39%
- IV Rank (30D)
- 37.69
- Straddle Price
- $4.33
- P/C Vol Ratio
- 1.69
Tradr 2X Short SMR Daily ETF (SMZ) ETF
- Exchange
- BATS
- Inception
- 2026-02-10
- Has Options
- Yes
| Month | Avg Return | Years of Data |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | — | 0 |
| Feb | +47.88% | 1 |
| Mar | +18.38% | 1 |
| Apr | -50.41% | 1 |
| May | -25.48% | 1 |
| Jun | +14.99% | 1 |
| Jul | +17.09% | 1 |
| Aug | -31.36% | 1 |
| Sep | -2.18% | 1 |
| Oct | +6.11% | 1 |
| Nov | — | 0 |
| Dec | — | 0 |
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
Trend Indicators
Momentum Oscillators
Volume & Volatility
Data Summary
LLM Stock Analysis Report - SMZ
Executive Summary
Overall Assessment: BEARISH (Confidence Level: 6/10) Key Drivers:
- Bearish momentum signals from MACD and Stochastic indicators
- Negative beta (-7.61) indicates stock moves opposite to market, increasing risk Primary Risks:
- Potential for further downside movement based on bearish momentum signals
- High IV premium (77.8%) suggests volatility may remain historically high
Investment Thesis: Sell recommendation based on bearish momentum and increased risk due to negative beta.
Recent News Sentiment Impact: No recent news available, but past performance suggests SMZ may be sensitive to market changes.
Technical Analysis
Trend Direction:
- Short-term: Bearish (1-4 weeks)
- Medium-term: Neutral (1-3 months)
- Long-term: Bullish (3-12 months)
Support/Resistance Levels:
- Key price levels from moving averages and technical patterns:
- SMA 20: $28.26
- SMA 50: $24.88
Momentum Signals:
- RSI interpretation: Neutral (40.98) with potential for further decline
- MACD signal: Bullish (Histogram: 0.35), but MACD line is below signal, indicating bearish momentum
- Bollinger Bands position: Squeeze, suggesting increased volatility ahead
Volume Analysis:
- Volume trends and institutional interest signals:
- On-Balance Volume (OBV): -247282.47 suggests selling pressure
- Volume Rate of Change: 165.17% indicates increasing volume and potential for further movement
News & Sentiment Analysis
Recent Headlines Summary: No recent news available.
Sentiment Assessment: Neutral
Catalyst Identification: None identified, but past performance suggests SMZ may be sensitive to market changes.
Market Narrative: No clear narrative can be drawn due to lack of recent news.
Risk & Volatility Assessment
Beta Interpretation: Stock moves opposite to market (beta -7.61), increasing risk.
Volatility Regime: Historically high volatility suggested by IV premium (77.8%) and True Range ($1.46).
Options Market Signals:
- IV rank: 77.8% (High)
- Put/call ratios: 0.04 (Bullish sentiment)
Downside Protection: SMA 20 ($28.26) and SMA 50 ($24.88) provide support levels.
Market Context & Positioning
Sector Performance: No sector performance data available.
Institutional Activity: Volume patterns suggesting institutional interest may be present.
Correlation Analysis: Stock moves opposite to market (beta -7.61), indicating increased risk.
Relative Valuation: Position within trading range suggests potential for further movement.
Key Levels & Action Items
Critical Price Levels:
- Support: SMA 20 ($28.26) and SMA 50 ($24.88)
- Resistance: Upper Bollinger Band ($37.25)
Breakout/Breakdown Levels:
- Potential for a breakdown if price touches lower Bollinger Band ($19.28)
Time-Sensitive Catalysts: None identified.
Risk Management: Consider stop-loss levels at SMA 20 ($28.26) and SMA 50 ($24.88), with position sizing considerations based on volatility signals.
- IV Rank (30D)
- 37.69
- IV Rank (7D)
- 37.69
- Avg IV
- 200.6%
- Straddle (30D)
- $4.33
- Straddle (7D)
- $4.33
- P/C Volume
- 1.69
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.
Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol pointsHow much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.
- Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
- Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
- Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
- Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each sideWhich side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.
- Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
- Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
- Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
- Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:
- High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
- Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
- Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.
- Beta (1Y vs SPY)
- -7.25
- Correlation (SPY)
- -52.4%
- R²
- 0.27
- Ann. Volatility
- 185.7%
- SPY Volatility
- 13.4%
Negative beta - stock moves opposite to market
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