UGP · Expected Move
Ultrapar Participacoes S.A.
The expected move for UGP is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).
UGP straddle price & implied vol
60 sessionsBars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).
Current UGP Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$1.12
7-Day Straddle
$1.12
30-Day ATM IV
64.3%
IV Rank
18%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to UGP's realized
move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime)
or too little (premium-buying regime). The
Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by
this measure.
UGP Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
| Date | 30D Straddle | 7D Straddle | ATM IV | IV Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20261022 | $1.12 | $1.12 | 64.3% | 18% |
| 20261021 | $1.10 | $1.10 | 58.5% | 14% |
| 20261020 | $1.10 | $1.10 | 58.4% | 13% |
| 20261019 | $0.93 | $0.93 | 51.9% | 9% |
| 20261016 | $1.02 | $0.25 | 52.5% | 9% |
| 20261015 | $0.90 | $0.20 | 46.9% | 5% |
| 20261014 | $0.90 | $0.38 | — | — |
| 20261013 | $0.98 | $0.38 | 48.0% | 6% |
| 20261012 | $1.00 | $0.47 | 47.6% | 6% |
| 20261009 | $1.00 | $0.50 | 50.2% | 7% |
| 20261008 | $0.98 | $0.42 | 45.1% | 4% |
| 20261007 | $0.95 | $0.40 | 48.2% | 6% |
| 20261006 | $0.93 | $0.42 | 46.8% | 5% |
| 20261005 | $0.92 | $0.47 | 47.5% | 6% |
| 20261002 | $0.70 | $0.70 | 54.7% | 11% |
| 20261001 | $0.70 | $0.70 | 51.8% | 9% |
| 20260930 | $0.70 | $0.70 | 54.7% | 11% |
| 20260929 | $0.72 | $0.72 | 57.0% | 11% |
| 20260928 | $0.70 | $0.70 | 47.2% | 5% |
| 20260925 | $0.80 | $0.80 | 48.8% | 6% |
| 20260924 | $0.70 | $0.70 | 46.2% | 4% |
| 20260923 | $0.65 | $0.65 | 49.0% | 6% |
| 20260922 | $0.70 | $0.70 | 46.6% | 4% |
| 20260921 | $0.70 | $0.70 | 48.8% | 6% |
| 20260918 | $0.72 | $0.45 | — | — |
| 20260917 | $0.73 | $0.47 | 42.5% | 2% |
| 20260916 | $0.75 | $0.57 | 53.7% | 9% |
| 20260915 | $0.72 | $0.50 | 41.6% | 1% |
| 20260914 | $0.75 | $0.42 | 42.4% | 2% |
| 20260911 | $0.75 | $0.47 | 43.3% | 2% |
| 20260910 | $0.80 | $0.65 | 47.7% | 5% |
| 20260909 | $0.75 | $0.65 | 51.4% | 7% |
| 20260908 | $0.85 | $0.57 | 53.4% | 9% |
| 20260904 | $0.82 | $0.85 | 39.9% | 0% |
| 20260903 | $0.73 | $1.05 | 49.0% | 5% |
| 20260902 | $3.15 | $3.15 | 48.3% | 5% |
| 20260901 | $0.90 | $0.90 | 51.4% | 7% |
| 20260831 | $1.30 | $1.30 | 40.5% | 0% |
| 20260828 | $3.60 | $3.60 | 52.5% | 4% |
| 20260827 | $1.15 | $1.15 | 53.4% | 5% |
| 20260826 | $1.73 | $1.73 | 86.5% | 27% |
| 20260825 | $1.10 | $1.10 | 75.8% | 20% |
| 20260824 | $1.30 | $1.30 | 66.6% | 14% |
| 20260821 | $1.35 | $0.83 | 62.9% | 11% |
| 20260820 | $1.48 | $1.00 | 70.9% | 17% |
| 20260819 | $1.57 | $0.97 | 67.4% | 14% |
| 20260818 | $1.53 | $1.15 | — | — |
| 20260817 | $1.82 | $1.12 | — | — |
| 20260814 | $1.23 | $1.15 | 176.8% | 88% |
| 20260813 | $3.42 | $1.02 | 94.4% | 32% |
| 20260812 | $1.38 | $1.02 | 65.0% | 13% |
| 20260811 | $1.50 | $1.05 | 68.8% | 15% |
| 20260810 | $1.38 | $3.42 | — | — |
| 20260806 | $5.00 | $1.43 | 104.2% | 39% |
| 20260805 | $0.97 | $0.97 | 82.7% | 25% |
| 20260804 | $0.92 | $0.92 | 54.4% | 6% |
| 20260803 | $1.40 | $1.40 | 97.0% | 34% |
| 20260731 | $1.38 | $1.38 | 83.4% | 25% |
| 20260730 | $1.48 | $1.48 | 104.9% | 40% |
| 20260729 | $1.30 | $1.30 | 58.4% | 8% |
More on UGP
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.