What will Trump say in November?
50/50 line52%Zohran / Mamdani
Line nearest 50/50
52%
Runner-up
100%
Biggest 24h move+82 pts
98%
24h volume
$8K
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noOzempic / GLP-1
100%
UFC
100%
TrumpRx
100%
Aluminum
100%
+21
Golden Dome
98%
+82
Ceasefire
69%
-17
Rare Earth
56%
-8
Zohran / Mamdani
52%
-16
Filibuster
50%
Eli Lilly
50%
E15
50%
Nvidia
50%
+ 8 more in the table below.
Odds over time
dailyDaily closing odds for the leading outcomes.
Where the large orders went
7 days · ≥ $1K- Fannie Mae / Freddie MacYES $3K · NO $0 · 2 orders · biggest $2K
- AluminumYES $3K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $3K
- FilibusterYES $1K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $1K
- NvidiaYES $1K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $1K
Recent large orders
| When | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aluminum | YES | 99¢ | $3K | |
| Fannie Mae / Freddie Mac | YES | 99¢ | $2K | |
| Fannie Mae / Freddie Mac | YES | 99¢ | $1K | |
| Filibuster | YES | 99¢ | $1K | |
| Nvidia | YES | 96¢ | $1K |
All outcomes
22| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ozempic / GLP-1 | 100% | — | $139 | $2K |
| UFC | 100% | — | $200 | $7K |
| TrumpRx | 100% | — | $395 | $1K |
| Aluminum | 100% | +21.0 | $4K | $4K |
| Golden Dome | 98% | +82.0 | $2K | $2K |
| Ceasefire | 69% | -17.0 | $92 | $378 |
| Rare Earth | 56% | -8.0 | $676 | $1K |
| Zohran / Mamdani | 52% | -16.5 | $363 | $999 |
| Dividend / Stimulus | 50% | — | $0 | $11K |
| Filibuster | 50% | — | $0 | $5K |
| Eli Lilly | 50% | — | $0 | $4K |
| Fannie Mae / Freddie Mac | 50% | — | $0 | $10K |
| E15 | 50% | — | $0 | $9K |
| Nvidia | 50% | — | $0 | $3K |
| Greenland | 50% | — | $0 | $4K |
| Autism | 42% | -10.0 | $13 | $358 |
| Manufactured Housing | 38% | -3.0 | $11 | $247 |
| Whistleblower | 38% | +7.0 | $17 | $226 |
| Refinance / Refinanced / Refinancing | 35% | +18.0 | $62 | $464 |
| SMR / Small Modular Reactor | 28% | -9.0 | $8 | $360 |
| Stablecoin | 24% | -1.5 | $8 | $237 |
| Peptide | 17% | -3.0 | $16 | $928 |