P PolymarketPolitics & Elections

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?

4 outcomesSettles Nov 04, 2026 (3d) Polls & election odds

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Theme
Preview
Favorite73%No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate
Favorite
73%
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate
Runner-up
27%
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate
Biggest 24h move+4 pts
73%
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate
24h volume
$12K
$145K open interest

Current odds

one winner
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate 73% +4
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate 27% -3
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate 0%
Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate 0%

Odds over time

daily

Daily closing odds for the leading outcomes.

All outcomes

4
OutcomeOdds24h change24h volumeOpen interest
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate 73% +3.8 $4K $36K
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate 27% -3.4 $8K $36K
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate 0% — $100 $36K
Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate 0% — $200 $36K

How it settles

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Odds are market prices, not forecasts or advice. Full terms on Polymarket.