P PolymarketPolitics & Elections

Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?

Settles Nov 04, 2026 (3d) All outcomes: Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms? Polls & election odds

Embed these odds

Paste this into any web page or blog post. The odds refresh every minute.

Theme
Preview
chance of YES0%
Price range (120d)
0–3%
· 7d +0 pts
24h volume
$200
USDC traded
Open interest
$36.3K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
—
none recorded

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability).

Open on Polymarket

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate73%$4.0K
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate27%$7.7K
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate0%$100

How it settles

The rules for this market are this: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/usp.pdf.

Market odds are not forecasts or investment advice. See Terms §17.