Gas prices in the US in Nov 2026?
50/50 line40%Above 3.80
Line nearest 50/50
40%
Market median
3.765
Biggest 24h move-38 pts
40%
24h volume
$67K
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noAbove 3.30
98%
Above 3.40
96%
-2
Above 3.50
92%
-6
Above 3.60
84%
-12
Above 3.70
68%
-23
Above 3.80
40%
-38
Above 3.90
24%
-34
Above 4.00
12%
-28
Above 4.10
6%
-12
Above 4.20
4%
-12
Above 4.80
2%
Above 4.90
2%
Above 4.60
2%
-2
Above 4.30
2%
-6
+ 4 more in the table below.
What the market expects
median 3.765Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.
Odds over time
rungs nearest 50/50 · dailyWhere the large orders went
7 days · ≥ $1K- On Nov 30, 2026YES $25K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $25K
- Above 3.90YES $7K · NO $6K · 8 orders · biggest $2K
- Above 4.10YES $1K · NO $9K · 6 orders · biggest $3K
- Above 4.00YES $2K · NO $8K · 4 orders · biggest $4K
- Above 2.70YES $9K · NO $0 · 2 orders · biggest $6K
- Above 4.70YES $0 · NO $7K · 3 orders · biggest $3K
- Above 5.00YES $0 · NO $6K · 1 orders · biggest $6K
- Above 2.60YES $5K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $5K
Recent large orders
| When | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 5.00 | NO | 99¢ | $6K | |
| Above 4.10 | NO | 94¢ | $1K | |
| Above 4.50 | NO | 98¢ | $2K | |
| Above 3.40 | YES | 95¢ | $2K | |
| Above 3.40 | YES | 96¢ | $3K | |
| Above 3.90 | NO | 70¢ | $2K | |
| Above 4.70 | NO | 98¢ | $2K | |
| Above 4.70 | NO | 97¢ | $2K | |
| Above 4.70 | NO | 97¢ | $3K | |
| Above 4.00 | NO | 60¢ | $2K |
All outcomes
18| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 3.30 | 98% | — | $3K | $3K |
| Above 3.40 | 96% | -2.5 | $12K | $2K |
| Above 3.50 | 92% | -5.5 | $3K | $2K |
| Above 3.60 | 84% | -12.5 | $2K | $3K |
| Above 3.70 | 68% | -23.0 | $3K | $6K |
| Above 3.80 | 40% | -38.0 | $6K | $7K |
| Above 3.90 | 24% | -34.5 | $6K | $13K |
| Above 4.00 | 12% | -27.5 | $8K | $13K |
| Above 4.10 | 6% | -12.5 | $3K | $14K |
| Above 4.20 | 4% | -11.5 | $4K | $8K |
| Above 4.80 | 2% | -0.5 | $96 | $7K |
| Above 4.90 | 2% | +0.5 | $20 | $2K |
| Above 4.60 | 2% | -2.5 | $65 | $5K |
| Above 4.30 | 2% | -6.5 | $1K | $6K |
| Above 4.40 | 2% | -3.5 | $254 | $6K |
| Above 4.50 | 2% | -2.5 | $2K | $2K |
| Above 4.70 | 2% | -1.5 | $7K | $6K |
| Above 5.00 | 0% | -1.0 | $6K | $8K |