K KalshiEconomy & Fed

Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.0% for the year ending in December 2026?

Settles Jan 13, 2027 (74d) All outcomes: CPI YoY in December Fed Watch — inflation & jobs data

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chance of YES42% +0.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
4–83%
· 7d +27 pts
24h volume
10
$1 contracts
Open interest
8.8K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
—
none recorded

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

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Other outcomes in this event

Above 3.1%95%9
Above 3.4%91%111
Above 3.5%86%1.1K
Above 3.6%78%380
Above 3.7%72%10
Above 3.9%52%255
Above 4.8%8%720
Above 4.9%4%4.4K