K KalshiEconomy & Fed

Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.8% for the year ending in December 2026?

Settles Jan 13, 2027 (74d) All outcomes: CPI YoY in December Fed Watch — inflation & jobs data

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chance of YES8% +0.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
1–19%
· 7d +17 pts
24h volume
720
$1 contracts
Open interest
8.5K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
$2K
0% on YES

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Above 3.1%95%9
Above 3.4%91%111
Above 3.5%86%1.1K
Above 3.6%78%380
Above 3.7%72%10
Above 3.9%52%255
Above 4.0%42%10
Above 4.9%4%4.4K

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO89¢ 2,383$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.