K KalshiEconomy & Fed

Will the AAA national average price for diesel on November 3, 2026 be above $5.80?

Settles Nov 03, 2026 (2d) All outcomes: Diesel price on Election Day

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chance of YES100% +1.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
34–98%
· 7d +26 pts
24h volume
12.1K
$1 contracts
Open interest
14.4K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
$16K
100% on YES

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Above $6.00100%5.6K
Above $6.2093%4.3K
Above $6.4012%4.1K
Above $6.602%2
Above $7.000%8.3K

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
YES99¢ 12,076$12K
YES96¢ 4,000$4K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.