K KalshiEconomy & Fed

Will the AAA national average price for diesel on November 3, 2026 be above $6.40?

Settles Nov 03, 2026 (2d) All outcomes: Diesel price on Election Day

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chance of YES12% -2.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
10–74%
30d -76 pts · 7d -78 pts
24h volume
4.1K
$1 contracts
Open interest
7.4K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
$2K
0% on YES

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Above $6.0099%5.6K
Above $5.8099%12.1K
Above $6.2093%4.3K
Above $6.602%4.0K
Above $7.000%8.3K

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO74¢ 2,161$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.