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Will a human case of Ebola disease in Republic of the Congo be reported before Jan 1, 2027?

Settles Jan 01, 2027 (61d) All outcomes: Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?

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chance of YES24% +3.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
9–28%
30d +67 pts · 7d +25 pts
24h volume
211
$1 contracts
Open interest
29.7K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
28¢ / 30¢
spread 2.0¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
28.0¢ 1 30.0¢ 441
27.0¢ 57 31.0¢ 2,872
26.0¢ 495 32.0¢ 500
25.0¢ 500 33.0¢ 79
20.0¢ 100 56.0¢ 75

Mid 29.0¢ · spread 2.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Central African Republic56%8
Tanzania38%72
South Sudan33%954
Ethiopia26%5
Rwanda21%179
Burundi19%163
United Arab Emirates16%10
United States10%545