What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 16%, implying a 16% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Science and Technology

Republic of the Congo

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume 67 Open interest 25.4K Event Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?

16%

implied YES probability

+3.0pp 24h

Last 29 days · High 99% · Low 7% · 7d +7.1pp

Spread 2.0¢ · Mid 29.0¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.