What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 12%, implying a 12% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Science and Technology

Ethiopia

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (175d) 24h volume 21 Open interest 1.4K Event Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?

12%

implied YES probability

Last 25 days · High 27% · Low 7% · 7d +37.5pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.