What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 22%, implying a 22% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Science and Technology

United States

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume 403 Open interest 25.7K Event Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?

22%

implied YES probability

+1.0pp 24h

Last 31 days · High 79% · Low 9% · 7d +4.8pp · 30d +144.4pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.