What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 27, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Jan 27, 2027 (88d) All outcomes: Fed decision in Jan 2027? Fed Watch — futures-implied odds

chance of YES2% +0.5pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

1–17%

30d -71 pts · 7d +33 pts

24h volume

655

$1 contracts

Open interest

26.0K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$2K

0% on YES

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 24, 3:52 AM ET	NO	99¢	1,261	$1K
Oct 22, 5:00 AM ET	NO	98¢	1,100	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.