What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 26%, implying a 26% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 27, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Jan 27, 2027 (88d) All outcomes: Fed decision in Jan 2027? Fed Watch — futures-implied odds

chance of YES26% +1.0pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

15–51%

30d -6 pts · 7d -3 pts

24h volume

$1 contracts

Open interest

72.7K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

35¢ / 38¢

spread 3.0¢

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 36.5¢ · spread 3.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 29, 4:06 PM ET	NO	70¢	1,813	$1K
Oct 22, 1:05 PM ET	NO	69¢	4,536	$3K
Oct 20, 7:35 AM ET	NO	60¢	4,819	$3K
Oct 20, 7:27 AM ET	NO	60¢	4,819	$3K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.