Fed decision in Jan 2027?
50/50 line26%Hike 25bps
Line nearest 50/50
26%
Runner-up
2%
Biggest 24h move
—
24h volume
$664
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noHike 25bps
26%
+1
Cut 25bps
2%
Odds over time
dailyDaily closing odds for the leading outcomes.
Where the large orders went
7 days · ≥ $1K- Hike 25bpsYES $0 · NO $1K · 1 orders · biggest $1K
Recent large orders
| When | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hike 25bps | NO | 70¢ | $1K |
All outcomes
2| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hike 25bps | 26% | +1.0 | $9 | $73K |
| Cut 25bps | 2% | +0.5 | $655 | $26K |
Same series
- Fed decision in Dec 2026?Hike 25bps 70% · settles 2026-12-09
- Fed decision in Apr 2027?Fed maintains rate 54% · settles 2027-04-28
- Fed decision in Jun 2027?≈ Fed maintains rate 57% · settles 2027-06-09
- Fed decision in Jul 2027?Fed maintains rate 76% · settles 2027-07-28
- Fed decision in Oct 2027?Fed maintains rate 94% · settles 2027-10-27
- Fed decision in Dec 2027?≈ Hike 25bps 8% · settles 2027-12-08