Will Barack Obama be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?

Settles Jan 01, 2027 (61d) All outcomes: Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? Fed Watch — futures-implied odds

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chance of YES3%
Price range (120d)
3–8%
30d -22 pts · 7d -31 pts
24h volume
193
$1 contracts
Open interest
63.0K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
$9K
0% on YES

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO97¢ 2,060$2K
NO97¢ 5,635$5K
NO95¢ 1,779$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.