K KalshiPolitics & Elections

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 1st District House election be at least 8 percentage points?

Settles Nov 03, 2027 (368d) All outcomes: Arizona's 1st District margin of victory Polls & election odds

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chance of YES33% -8.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
23–45%
24h volume
6.3K
$1 contracts
Open interest
6.8K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
$4K
0% on YES

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Shah, 1+ pts78%1.2K
Shah, 5+ pts47%220

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO68¢ 6,337$4K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.