Arizona's 1st District margin of victory
50/50 line47%Shah, 5+ pts
Line nearest 50/50
47%
Runner-up
47%
Biggest 24h move-8 pts
33%
24h volume
$8K
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noOdds over time
dailyDaily closing odds for the leading outcomes.
Where the large orders went
7 days · ≥ $1K- Shah, 8+ ptsYES $0 · NO $4K · 1 orders · biggest $4K
Recent large orders
| When | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shah, 8+ pts | NO | 68¢ | $4K |
All outcomes
3| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shah, 1+ pts | 78% | — | $1K | $1K |
| Shah, 5+ pts | 47% | -3.0 | $220 | $1K |
| Shah, 8+ pts | 33% | -8.0 | $6K | $7K |
Same series
- Texas Senate margin of victory≈ James Talarico, 3+ pts 50% · settles 2027-11-03
- Florida Governor margin of victory≈ Donalds, 3+ pts 46% · settles 2027-11-03
- Texas Senate margin of victoryKen Paxton, 1+ pts 28% · settles 2027-11-03
- Michigan Senate margin of victory≈ El-Sayed, 3+ pts 52% · settles 2027-11-03
- Florida Senate margin of victory≈ Moody, 5+ pts 46% · settles 2027-11-03
- Texas Governor margin of victory≈ Abbott, 3+ pts 48% · settles 2027-11-03