K KalshiPolitics & Elections

Texas Senate margin of victory

7 outcomesSettles Nov 03, 2027 (380d) Polls & election odds

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Theme
Preview
Favorite38%Ken Paxton, 1+ pts
Favorite
38%
Ken Paxton, 1+ pts
Runner-up
24%
Ken Paxton, 3+ pts
Biggest 24h move-3 pts
2%
Ken Paxton, 11+ pts
24h volume
$32K
$490K open interest · $1 contracts

Current odds

one winner
Ken Paxton, 1+ pts 38%
Ken Paxton, 3+ pts 24% +2
Ken Paxton, 5+ pts 14% -1
Ken Paxton, 7+ pts 10%
Ken Paxton, 9+ pts 6%
Ken Paxton, 11+ pts 2% -3
Ken Paxton, 13+ pts 2%

Odds over time

daily

Daily closing odds for the leading outcomes.

Where the large orders went

7 days · ≥ $1K
  • Ken Paxton, 5+ pts
    YES $1K · NO $23K · 10 orders · biggest $8K
  • Ken Paxton, 3+ pts
    YES $0 · NO $9K · 3 orders · biggest $6K
  • Ken Paxton, 7+ pts
    YES $0 · NO $6K · 2 orders · biggest $4K
  • Ken Paxton, 1+ pts
    YES $4K · NO $1K · 3 orders · biggest $2K
  • Ken Paxton, 13+ pts
    YES $0 · NO $2K · 1 orders · biggest $2K
  • Ken Paxton, 9+ pts
    YES $0 · NO $2K · 1 orders · biggest $2K

Recent large orders

WhenOutcomeSidePriceSize
Ken Paxton, 7+ ptsNO 90¢$2K
Ken Paxton, 5+ ptsYES 20¢$1K
Ken Paxton, 5+ ptsNO 89¢$1K
Ken Paxton, 5+ ptsNO 87¢$3K
Ken Paxton, 7+ ptsNO 90¢$4K
Ken Paxton, 5+ ptsNO 88¢$1K
Ken Paxton, 13+ ptsNO 99¢$2K
Ken Paxton, 5+ ptsNO 91¢$8K
Ken Paxton, 3+ ptsNO 81¢$6K
Ken Paxton, 5+ ptsNO 89¢$3K

All outcomes

7
OutcomeOdds24h change24h volumeOpen interest
Ken Paxton, 1+ pts 38% — $853 $133K
Ken Paxton, 3+ pts 24% +2.5 $4K $170K
Ken Paxton, 5+ pts 14% -1.0 $15K $96K
Ken Paxton, 7+ pts 10% — $9K $54K
Ken Paxton, 9+ pts 6% — $301 $19K
Ken Paxton, 11+ pts 2% -2.8 $696 $6K
Ken Paxton, 13+ pts 2% -0.9 $2K $11K

Same series