What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 49%, implying a 49% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Ken Paxton, 3+ pts

Closes Nov 03, 2027 (504d) 24h volume 45 Open interest 10.3K Event Texas Senate margin of victory

49%

implied YES probability

+2.0pp 24h

Last 31 days · High 60% · Low 34% · 7d -2.0pp · 30d -3.9pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.