What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 58%, implying a 58% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Ken Paxton, 1+ pts

Closes Nov 03, 2027 (481d) 24h volume 6 Open interest 3.5K Event Texas Senate margin of victory

58%

implied YES probability

+3.0pp 24h

Last 34 days · High 63% · Low 43% · 7d 0.0pp · 30d +39.5pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.