Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 1 percentage points?
chance of YES38%
Price range (120d)
30–58%
24h volume
853
Open interest
133.3K
Bid / ask
33¢ / 36¢
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Order book
top 5| Bid | Size | Ask | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33.0¢ | 477 | 36.0¢ | 27 |
| 32.0¢ | 884 | 37.0¢ | 74 |
| 31.0¢ | 1,241 | 38.0¢ | 2,346 |
| 30.0¢ | 1,200 | 39.0¢ | 3,267 |
| 29.0¢ | 1,107 | 40.0¢ | 104 |
Mid 34.5¢ · spread 3.0¢
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Ken Paxton, 3+ pts24%3.9K
Ken Paxton, 5+ pts14%15.2K
Ken Paxton, 7+ pts10%8.6K
Ken Paxton, 9+ pts6%301
Ken Paxton, 11+ pts2%696
Ken Paxton, 13+ pts2%2.0K
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 36¢ | 3,990 | $1K | |
| YES | 34¢ | 7,096 | $2K | |
| NO | 69¢ | 1,578 | $1K | |
| YES | 45¢ | 4,243 | $2K | |
| YES | 33¢ | 4,603 | $2K | |
| YES | 32¢ | 4,985 | $2K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.