K KalshiPolitics & Elections

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 7 percentage points?

Ken Paxton, 7+ pts
Settles Nov 03, 2027 (380d) All outcomes: Texas Senate margin of victory Polls & election odds

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chance of YES10%
Price range (120d)
6–18%
30d +36 pts · 7d -14 pts
24h volume
8.6K
$1 contracts
Open interest
54.3K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
$7K
0% on YES

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Ken Paxton, 1+ pts38%716
Ken Paxton, 3+ pts24%4.2K
Ken Paxton, 5+ pts14%14.9K
Ken Paxton, 9+ pts6%301
Ken Paxton, 11+ pts2%696
Ken Paxton, 13+ pts2%2.0K

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO90¢ 2,000$2K
NO90¢ 4,937$4K
NO88¢ 1,390$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.