Texas Senate margin of victory
50/50 line48%James Talarico, 2+ pts
Line nearest 50/50
48%
Runner-up
48%
Biggest 24h move+4 pts
20%
24h volume
$5K
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noJames Talarico, 3+ pts
34%
+4
James Talarico, 5+ pts
20%
+4
Odds over time
dailyDaily closing odds for the leading outcomes.
Where the large orders went
7 days · ≥ $1K- James Talarico, 7+ ptsYES $9K · NO $34K · 10 orders · biggest $13K
- James Talarico, 2+ ptsYES $10K · NO $18K · 7 orders · biggest $8K
- James Talarico, 3+ ptsYES $6K · NO $13K · 6 orders · biggest $8K
- James Talarico, 1+ ptsYES $10K · NO $5K · 3 orders · biggest $6K
- James Talarico, 5+ ptsYES $0 · NO $7K · 3 orders · biggest $3K
- James Talarico, 4+ ptsYES $1K · NO $1K · 2 orders · biggest $1K
Recent large orders
| When | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Talarico, 3+ pts | YES | 32¢ | $1K | |
| James Talarico, 2+ pts | YES | 50¢ | $7K | |
| James Talarico, 7+ pts | NO | 93¢ | $2K | |
| James Talarico, 7+ pts | NO | 92¢ | $5K | |
| James Talarico, 7+ pts | NO | 92¢ | $5K | |
| James Talarico, 2+ pts | NO | 55¢ | $1K | |
| James Talarico, 2+ pts | NO | 55¢ | $1K | |
| James Talarico, 2+ pts | NO | 55¢ | $3K | |
| James Talarico, 7+ pts | YES | 6¢ | $2K | |
| James Talarico, 7+ pts | NO | 95¢ | $13K |
All outcomes
6| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Talarico, 1+ pts | 57% | +0.5 | $546 | $57K |
| James Talarico, 2+ pts | 48% | -0.5 | $1K | $26K |
| James Talarico, 3+ pts | 34% | +3.5 | $2K | $123K |
| James Talarico, 4+ pts | 22% | — | $278 | $13K |
| James Talarico, 5+ pts | 20% | +4.0 | $762 | $102K |
| James Talarico, 7+ pts | 9% | — | $960 | $64K |
Same series
- Texas Senate margin of victoryKen Paxton, 1+ pts 38% · settles 2027-11-03
- Michigan Senate margin of victory≈ Sayed, 3+ pts 40% · settles 2027-11-03
- Minnesota Senate margin of victory≈ Flanagan, 7+ pts 44% · settles 2027-11-03
- Georgia Senate margin of victory≈ Ossoff, 10+ pts 49% · settles 2027-11-03
- Texas Governor margin of victory≈ Abbott, 6+ pts 38% · settles 2027-11-03
- North Carolina Senate margin of victory≈ Cooper, 11+ pts 50% · settles 2027-11-03