K KalshiPolitics & Elections

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 5 percentage points?

James Talarico, 5+ pts
Settles Nov 03, 2027 (379d) All outcomes: Texas Senate margin of victory Polls & election odds

Embed these odds

Paste this into any web page or blog post. The odds refresh every minute.

Theme
Preview
chance of YES20% +4.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
11–29%
30d -14 pts · 7d +6 pts
24h volume
762
$1 contracts
Open interest
101.8K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
19¢ / 21¢
spread 2.0¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
19.0¢ 5,200 21.0¢ 56
18.0¢ 4,887 22.0¢ 2,738
17.0¢ 3,842 23.0¢ 23
16.0¢ 15,834 24.0¢ 200
15.0¢ 53 26.0¢ 100

Mid 20.0¢ · spread 2.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

James Talarico, 1+ pts56%696
James Talarico, 2+ pts46%1.7K
James Talarico, 3+ pts34%2.0K
James Talarico, 4+ pts22%794
James Talarico, 7+ pts9%933

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO83¢ 2,500$2K
NO81¢ 3,513$3K
NO81¢ 2,416$2K
NO74¢ 2,369$2K
NO73¢ 2,688$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.