What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 38%, implying a 38% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

James Talarico, 1+ pts

Closes Nov 03, 2027 (481d) 24h volume 36 Open interest 3.2K Event Texas Senate margin of victory

38%

implied YES probability

Last 33 days · High 46% · Low 35% · 7d -5.4pp · 30d -14.6pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.