K KalshiPolitics & Elections

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 1 percentage points?

James Talarico, 1+ pts
Settles Nov 03, 2027 (379d) All outcomes: Texas Senate margin of victory Polls & election odds

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Preview
chance of YES56%
Price range (120d)
35–63%
30d +12 pts · 7d +0 pts
24h volume
696
$1 contracts
Open interest
57.6K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
55¢ / 56¢
spread 1.0¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
55.0¢ 64 56.0¢ 47
54.0¢ 162 57.0¢ 296
53.0¢ 398 58.0¢ 941
52.0¢ 1,088 61.0¢ 545
51.0¢ 6,992 62.0¢ 3,212

Mid 55.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

James Talarico, 2+ pts46%1.7K
James Talarico, 3+ pts34%2.0K
James Talarico, 4+ pts22%794
James Talarico, 5+ pts20%762
James Talarico, 7+ pts9%933

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
YES60¢ 9,859$6K
NO49¢ 9,859$5K
YES62¢ 6,000$4K
YES66¢ 2,084$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.