Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 7 percentage points?
chance of YES9%
Price range (120d)
7–16%
24h volume
933
Open interest
64.3K
Bid / ask
8¢ / 10¢
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Order book
top 5| Bid | Size | Ask | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.7¢ | 22 | 9.6¢ | 3 |
| 7.6¢ | 21 | 9.7¢ | 3 |
| 7.5¢ | 200 | 9.9¢ | 24 |
| 7.4¢ | 18 | 10.0¢ | 522 |
| 7.1¢ | 7 | 11.0¢ | 100 |
Mid 8.6¢ · spread 1.9¢
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
James Talarico, 1+ pts56%696
James Talarico, 2+ pts46%1.7K
James Talarico, 3+ pts34%2.0K
James Talarico, 4+ pts22%794
James Talarico, 5+ pts20%762
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 93¢ | 2,634 | $2K | |
| NO | 92¢ | 5,701 | $5K | |
| NO | 92¢ | 5,028 | $5K | |
| YES | 6¢ | 36,944 | $2K | |
| NO | 95¢ | 13,142 | $13K | |
| YES | 13¢ | 20,095 | $3K | |
| YES | 13¢ | 30,665 | $4K | |
| NO | 91¢ | 2,680 | $2K | |
| NO | 91¢ | 4,994 | $5K | |
| NO | 89¢ | 2,000 | $2K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.