Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 3 percentage points?
chance of YES34%
+2.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
20–48%
24h volume
2.0K
Open interest
123.2K
Bid / ask
34¢ / 35¢
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Order book
top 5| Bid | Size | Ask | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34.0¢ | 33 | 35.0¢ | 763 |
| 33.0¢ | 42 | 36.0¢ | 384 |
| 32.0¢ | 315 | 37.0¢ | 488 |
| 31.0¢ | 736 | 38.0¢ | 120 |
| 30.0¢ | 1,705 | 39.0¢ | 1,820 |
Mid 34.5¢ · spread 1.0¢
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
James Talarico, 1+ pts56%696
James Talarico, 2+ pts46%1.7K
James Talarico, 4+ pts22%794
James Talarico, 5+ pts20%762
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 32¢ | 3,285 | $1K | |
| NO | 67¢ | 1,557 | $1K | |
| NO | 66¢ | 3,243 | $2K | |
| YES | 42¢ | 11,452 | $5K | |
| NO | 68¢ | 11,452 | $8K | |
| NO | 64¢ | 3,567 | $2K | |
| YES | 43¢ | 6,792 | $3K | |
| NO | 60¢ | 1,922 | $1K | |
| YES | 48¢ | 3,000 | $1K | |
| NO | 56¢ | 1,848 | $1K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.