K KalshiPolitics & Elections

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 4 percentage points?

James Talarico, 4+ pts
Settles Nov 03, 2027 (379d) All outcomes: Texas Senate margin of victory Polls & election odds

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Theme
Preview
chance of YES22%
Price range (120d)
22–31%
24h volume
794
$1 contracts
Open interest
12.9K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
$3K
54% on YES

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

James Talarico, 1+ pts56%696
James Talarico, 2+ pts46%1.7K
James Talarico, 3+ pts34%2.0K
James Talarico, 5+ pts20%762
James Talarico, 7+ pts9%933

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO68¢ 1,800$1K
YES33¢ 4,361$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.