K KalshiPolitics & Elections

Florida Senate margin of victory

15 outcomesSettles Nov 03, 2027 (368d) Polls & election odds

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50/50 line46%Moody, 5+ pts
Line nearest 50/50
46%
Moody, 5+ pts
Runner-up
80%
Moody, 2+ pts
Biggest 24h move-18 pts
46%
Moody, 5+ pts
24h volume
$25K
$173K open interest · $1 contracts

Current odds

ladder — each rung is its own yes/no
Moody, 1+ pts 86% +2
Moody, 2+ pts 80% -4
Moody, 3+ pts 72% -4
Moody, 4+ pts 58% -9
Moody, 5+ pts 46% -18
Moody, 6+ pts 40% -12
Moody, 7+ pts 34% -6
Moody, 8+ pts 32% -6
Moody, 9+ pts 30%
Moody, 10+ pts 22% -6
Moody, 11+ pts 16% -4
Moody, 12+ pts 12% -4
Moody, 14+ pts 8%
Moody, 16+ pts 5% -2

+ 1 more in the table below.

Odds over time

daily

Daily closing odds for the leading outcomes.

Where the large orders went

7 days · ≥ $1K
  • Moody, 10+ pts
    YES $0 · NO $10K · 5 orders · biggest $3K
  • Moody, 8+ pts
    YES $0 · NO $6K · 2 orders · biggest $4K
  • Moody, 2+ pts
    YES $3K · NO $0 · 2 orders · biggest $2K
  • Moody, 6+ pts
    YES $0 · NO $2K · 1 orders · biggest $2K
  • Moody, 1+ pts
    YES $2K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $2K
  • Moody, 3+ pts
    YES $2K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $2K
  • Moody, 4+ pts
    YES $0 · NO $1K · 1 orders · biggest $1K
  • Moody, 9+ pts
    YES $0 · NO $1K · 1 orders · biggest $1K

Recent large orders

WhenOutcomeSidePriceSize
Moody, 10+ ptsNO 73¢$3K
Moody, 8+ ptsNO 60¢$4K
Moody, 2+ ptsYES 85¢$1K
Moody, 9+ ptsNO 65¢$1K
Moody, 2+ ptsYES 82¢$2K
Moody, 6+ ptsNO 44¢$2K
Moody, 4+ ptsNO 31¢$1K
Moody, 3+ ptsYES 80¢$2K
Moody, 10+ ptsNO 83¢$2K
Moody, 10+ ptsNO 76¢$1K

All outcomes

15
OutcomeOdds24h change24h volumeOpen interest
Moody, 1+ pts 86% +1.5 $453 $4K
Moody, 2+ pts 80% -4.0 $155 $9K
Moody, 3+ pts 72% -3.5 $1K $4K
Moody, 4+ pts 58% -9.0 $4K $24K
Moody, 5+ pts 46% -17.5 $5K $6K
Moody, 6+ pts 40% -11.5 $3K $27K
Moody, 7+ pts 34% -6.5 $1K $3K
Moody, 8+ pts 32% -6.5 $429 $22K
Moody, 9+ pts 30% +0.5 $659 $3K
Moody, 10+ pts 22% -6.0 $5K $27K
Moody, 11+ pts 16% -4.5 $106 $3K
Moody, 12+ pts 12% -4.5 $1K $18K
Moody, 14+ pts 8% — $251 $9K
Moody, 16+ pts 5% -2.4 $2K $6K
Moody, 18+ pts 4% -1.6 $187 $8K

Same series