K KalshiPolitics & Elections

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Florida be at least 2 percentage points?

Settles Nov 03, 2027 (368d) All outcomes: Florida Senate margin of victory Polls & election odds

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chance of YES80% -4.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
81–92%
30d -9 pts · 7d -4 pts
24h volume
155
$1 contracts
Open interest
9.2K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
$5K
100% on YES

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Moody, 1+ pts86%453
Moody, 3+ pts72%1.1K
Moody, 4+ pts58%4.3K
Moody, 5+ pts46%4.9K
Moody, 6+ pts40%3.3K
Moody, 7+ pts34%1.5K
Moody, 8+ pts32%429
Moody, 9+ pts30%659

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
YES85¢ 1,266$1K
YES82¢ 2,205$2K
YES90¢ 2,475$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.